[娱乐]格林斯潘 vs. 伯克南, Ok 还有周小川

`By the end of the year, there is the possibility, but not the probability of the U.S. moving into recession,''

好像有这样一句话，大意如下：即使把所有经济学家排成一圈，讨论问题，也得不出一个结论。

越来越觉得经济学真的很有意思！

中国人民银行在《二○○七年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告》中說，央行下一步將保持宏觀經濟政策的連續性，防止經濟由偏快轉為過熱。（原始链接： http://www.pbc.gov.cn/detail.asp?col=100&id=2173） 央行承认經濟是偏快？

中国统计局的“宏观经济景气指数趋势”说，经济稳定！（原始链接：http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/jdsj/hgjjjqzs/t20070428_402402103.htm ）

有时侯,对他们而言,也是在其位,谋其职,说其话.时势需要而已.不过,那几位的经济学造诣都很深,非常值得多听,多学.

重拾格林斯潘语

不同经济学家不同观点@

以下是引用伊蔓达在2007-5-10 15:51:00的发言：
`By the end of the year, there is the possibility, but not the probability of the U.S. moving into recession,''

Greenspan spoke again today, in his original words:

``At the moment, I still say as I said before, by algebraic implications, the odds are 2 to 1 we (the U.S.) won't have a recession''.

Greenspan comments on China's CNY at a conference in Singapore on 05/11 (Bloomberg):

"China should allow the yuan, or renminbi, to appreciate a lot faster than it has been"

``Unless the intervention into the foreign exchange market comes to a halt, which is another way of saying that they'll allow the renminbi to rise, they would find it at some point extremely difficult to handle the imbalance problem. They cannot do this indefinitely without very serious consequences.''

唉，公说公有理，婆说婆有理

经济学的争鸣。不过经济周期的盛衰是必然的了。