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[转帖]黑石连跌 国家首笔投资巨亏五亿美元 [推广有奖]

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volkman 发表于 2007-8-3 14:20:00 |AI写论文

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受累于私人股本巨头黑石股价的下跌,中国首笔外汇投资的黑石集团27日报收24.30元,而中国于黑石集团的30亿美元外汇投资,购买价为每股29.61美元,每股亏损5.31美元,亏幅为17.9%,亏损总额达到5.38亿美元。

  黑石集团股价上周受累于美股两年来最大单周跌幅,较其每股31美元的IPO募股价下跌21.6%。此外,支持黑石核心杠杆收购业务的信贷市场健康状况越来越动荡,投资者担心近年来不断活跃并膨胀的私人股本繁荣期也走到尽头,也是造成股价动荡的原因之一。

  黑石股价下跌原因

  黑石集团管理着全球884亿美元资产的,拥有和投资超过100家公司,其行业分布遍及消费品公司、军工企业、精密机械公司、旅游公司等各行各业。 2006年净利润高达22.7亿美元,同比增长71%。仅今年前3个月,盈利已达11.3亿美元,同比翻了一倍多。然而,黑石股价自上市后不久即一路下跌,一方面,这是受到美国国会一些议员要求调高私募基金公司税赋比率法案修正的直接冲击,令一方面,是华尔街投行间的有关私募基金公司管理不透明,导致整个行业畸形繁荣的批评声浪。

  黑石集团这类私人股本公司实行的是合伙人制的组织形式,这种组织安排可以允许收入无需经过额外的一层公司税,直接归于股东。作为股东的投资者可以支付最低至15%的资本利得税。黑石集团的IPO已经推动了美国一些立法者们努力提交一项法案,要求对冲基金经理和多数私人投资公司像其他公司一样,支付最高达35%的税率。

  尽管上周,美国财政部长亨利?鲍尔森表示,不会对基金公司实行不同税率,但这并未能打消市场对国会努力提高私人投资公司税率的担忧。更重要的是,由于类似黑石这样的有限合伙制公司架构,可以得到纽交所多项交易规则豁免。例如,可以不需要在董事会中聘任独立董事,甚至不用召开年度股东大会,公众投资者对公司的影响几乎为零。这种公司治理结构不透明被认为是PE公司的终极“杀手”,已经有评级公司将此类私募基金公司扔进垃圾级别。

  国家首笔外汇投资内幕

  黑石股价大跌,令国家外汇首笔投资引起了争议。中国外汇首笔投资之所以选择入股黑石集团,推动者就是梁锦松。梁锦松是曾在花旗集团及摩根大通任职的资深银行家,还曾担任香港财政司司长一职,于2003年被迫辞去财政司司长一职后,于今年1月加盟黑石集团,任中国区主席、高级执行董事,这也正是此前“中国业务为零”的后者在香港开始私人资本业务的时候。今年4月,梁锦松拜访了负责这个外汇储备管理机构筹备工作的财政部官员楼继伟,询问后者是否有兴趣投资百仕通旗下的任何资产。过了几周,梁锦松便拿回了一张三十亿美元的大单。目前上述外汇储备管理机构仍处于筹备阶段。

  此后,从5月1日首次提出入股黑石计划,到5月20日交易安排公布,中国入股黑石的速度令世界惊叹。黑石IPO的融资规模为41亿美元,共发售了 1.533亿股的股份。其中向中国出售价值30亿美元无投票权股份,这笔交易最初是在今年5月宣布的,中国的万德福投资有限公司以每股29.61美元的价格获得了1.013亿股的股份,约占其发行后总股本的9.37%。

  这笔交易是中国政府首次投资于一家外国的私人资本运营公司。目前已坐拥1.3万亿美元以上外汇储备的中国政府曾表示,将寻求比低收益政府债券风险更大的投资项目。根据筹建中的国家外汇投资公司当时同黑石集团于5月签署的协议,汇投公司承诺至少在四年时间内持有其对黑石集团的投资,而且四年禁售期结束之后仍有时段限制,即每年可以出售的股份约为三分之一。在这个意义上,由于投资黑石锁定时间长,短时间内的股价变动并无实际意义。况且黑石刚刚上市,在一段时间内发生波动亦属正常。

  然而,也有人指出,除了上述禁售规定外,外汇投资公司所持这30亿美元黑石股份还没有投票权,并且在1年之内不能投资于与黑石集团有竞争关系的其他私人资本运营公司。在这一系列限制条件基础上,外汇投资公司不过获得了4.5%的价格折让。考虑到黑石上市前其他的例外性要求,以及同样知名的私人股本公司 KKR也在启动招股等因素,每29.61美元的购买价格仍相对偏高。
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关键词:亿美元 投资有限公司 公司治理结构 资本利得税 黑石集团 投资 国家

沙发
lovemoi 发表于 2007-8-4 09:15:00
严重亏损了

藤椅
天亮 发表于 2007-8-4 09:52:00

政策风险\行业风险......

板凳
云雀之志 发表于 2007-8-4 10:19:00
股市有风险,投资需谨慎,再说在短时间内的股价变动是很正常的,如果按照楼主提供的数据,黑石公司的盈利的大幅度增长,完全有可能支撑股价再度上涨,像这种私募基金来说,盈利的增加基本上就相当于每股权益的增加,股票价值的增加,因而这样的话,股价也会有一个比较大的支撑,我国政府购买的是无投票权的股票,其风险性相对于普通股来说就更小了,暂时的损失并不能说明什么,只能说是市场的正常调整。

报纸
进来学习的 发表于 2007-8-4 10:38:00
由于国家是以入股的形式购买黑石的股份,有解禁期限,所以短期的股市波动并不影响国家盈利,个人觉得这笔投资值得

地板
hanbin8611 发表于 2007-8-4 11:33:00
不管投资什么都会有风险的嘛。也许明天就会赚回来了呢。

7
雕貂刁 发表于 2007-8-4 13:56:00
购买黑石股份更多的是向外界发出一种信号,也是对国外要求我国控制顺差和开放金融投资的一种回应——暂时堵一下枪口(减轻一下火力)。
辩者,争彼也

8
紫苏岩 发表于 2007-8-4 16:26:00

私筹股应该还在起步阶段吧,前景应该是比较广阔的。更何况黑石管理着800多亿的全球资产,短期的股价下跌应该对其长期盈利不会产生太大影响吧,政府的投资眼光也不会那么差的。

9
pose 发表于 2007-8-4 18:10:00

卖国贼……

10
goodman2008 发表于 2007-8-4 18:26:00

投资就有风险,谁能保证只赚不赔.

脑袋没被炉子踢坏的人都知道这个理. 看一看下面的文章你也可能明白点什么了.

Why Harvard Is Smarting --- Bet on Former Manager, Faulted for High Pay, Leads to Crimson Loss
By Craig Karmin and Gregory Zuckerman

1 August 2007

Harvard University's endowment fund has graduated some of the most sought-after money managers in
the hedge-fund world.
Now one of those stars is teaching Harvard a lesson of its own.
In the past month, the university lost about $350 million through an investment in Sowood Capital
Management, a hedge-fund firm founded by Jeffrey Larson. Mr. Larson managed Harvard's
foreign-stock holdings until 2004, when he left to set up Sowood, which recently lost more than 50% of
its value amid bad bond investments.
Mr. Larson isn't the only high-profile former Harvard-endowment manager with a mixed record since
leaving the ivory tower. Jack Meyer, Harvard's former top investment manager, last year raised a $6
billion hedge fund, Convexity Capital, including an initial $500 million investment from Harvard. While
Convexity's returns were subpar early on, its performance has improved lately, according to people
familiar with the figures.
University spokesman John Longbrake said the school doesn't discuss individual endowment
investments. Mr. Meyer, and a representative from Sowood, declined to comment.
While $350 million is a relatively small hit for the $29 billion Harvard endowment, the nation's largest, it
highlights the risks as colleges nationwide embrace nontraditional investments such as hedge funds and
private equity. Investments like these are less regulated than more traditional options, and often engage
in the risky practice of investing borrowed money in hopes of amplifying their returns.
Along with Yale University -- where the roughly $18 billion endowment has achieved annual returns of
about 17% in the past decade -- Harvard was among the first universities to embrace such alternative
investments. The goal is to seek good returns that don't move in tandem with stock and bond markets,
thereby giving diversity to the overall portfolio.
The strategy worked particularly well in the 2000-2002 period, when hedge funds generally did a much
better job than other investments in protecting their clients' money from losses in the aftermath of the
dot-com stock bust. That subsequently helped to spark new interest from institutional investors.
Sowood chalked up three years of gains for Harvard. But recently, it ran into difficulties navigating
troubles in the bond market, suffering losses last month that cut the firm's assets in half, to $1.5 billon.
This week, big Chicago hedge fund Citadel Investment Group agreed to buy much of Sowood's
investment portfolio.
Harvard Management Co., which manages the endowment, has long been viewed as one of the nation's
more successful and trailblazing investment-management firms. It boasts an annualized return of 15.2%
in the past 10 years through June 2006. That compares with an 8.9% median return for endowments
and foundations over that time period, according to Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service.
As Harvard's returns grew, so did its money managers' paychecks, which soared into the millions of
dollars a year. That sparked controversy among alumni and others associated with the university, who
argued that investment managers shouldn't be paid better than the school's Nobel Laureate professors,
or its deans.
Mr. Larson's $17.3 million in payments in 2003 from Harvard were among the large salaries that drew
complaints from alumni several years ago.
In 2005, Mr. Meyer and some of his top staff left the university amid complaints about their pay. Harvard
hired Mohamed El-Erian from giant bond house Pacific Investment Management Co., an Allianz AG unit
better known as Pimco, to run the university's investments.
2007 Factiva, Inc. All rights reserved.
Mr. El-Erian received compensation of $2.3 million for the fiscal year ended June 2006, and a portion of
his pay is tied to investment performance. Mr. El-Erian couldn't be reached to comment yesterday.
For some detractors, Harvard's Sowood losses serve as proof that the money managers didn't merit
their compensation. "We felt it was inappropriate then, and we don't feel it's appropriate now," says
William Strauss, an author and Harvard graduate who is an outspoken critic of the salaries at Harvard
Management.
"This is not a mutual fund," says Mr. Strauss. "Harvard needs to set limits on what it pays fund
managers."
Nationwide, university endowments continue to show a greater risk appetite than pension funds and
other large institutional investors. The top 53 university endowments, with nearly $217 billion in assets,
have invested about 18% of their money in hedge funds, according to data provider HedgeFund
Intelligence. The average public pension fund has only about 5% in hedge funds.
Kevin Lynch, a managing director at consulting firm RogersCasey, says there are at least two good
reasons why universities have more readily welcomed hedge funds and private equity. Unlike public or
corporate pension plans, which make annual payouts to beneficiaries, endowments have longer-term
investment horizons, and therefore are more comfortable with the fact that alternative investments
generally require investors to stay in for years.
Universities are also less worried about so-called headline risk, where news of a bad investment may be
splashed across the front page, Mr. Lynch says. "The larger endowments often have hedge-fund people
on their boards or committees," he says. "They are not as taken aback by a blowout."

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