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英文文献：Population and Poverty Projections for Nicaragua 1995 - 2015-1995 - 2015年尼加拉瓜人口和贫穷预测
英文文献作者：Lykke E. Andersen
英文文献摘要：
This paper makes detailed population and poverty projections that take into account expected demographic changes (in terms of fertility, mortality, migration, and education) as well as differentials in social mobility by household type. Such projections could be useful for a variety of purposes ranging from assessment of necessary social investments (education facilities, health facilities, pension systems, etc), projections of the size of the working age population who will demand jobs, targeting of poverty alleviation policies, projections of migration flows, to negotiations with external donors and creditors.
本文对人口和贫困进行了详细的预测，考虑到预期的人口变化(生育率、死亡率、移徙和教育)以及按家庭类型划分的社会流动性差异。这样的预测可以用于各种各样的目的从评估必要的社会投资(教育设施、卫生设施、养老金制度等),工作年龄的人口规模的预测谁将需求工作,针对的扶贫政策,预测的迁移流动,与外部捐助者和债权人谈判。
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