第二产业结构变动与信贷规模的协整关系

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nnudengbin 发表于 2013-7-27 10:56:35 |AI写论文

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1、请教各位大虾，为什么我看到的其他论文都是第二产业结构与信贷规模之间存在协整关系，而自己做出来的却不存在。第二产业结构用第二产业增加值/GDP，信贷规模用人民币贷款余额/GDP。到底什么原因呢？？？

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关键词：产业结构变信贷规模协整关系第二产业产业结构规模

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沙发

nnudengbin 发表于 2013-7-27 11:03:35

这是数据

藤椅

nnudengbin 发表于 2013-7-27 11:04:21

CY1 CY2 CY3 LOAN
1978 28.1886 47.8764 23.935 50.75142978
1979 31.2656 47.1006 21.6337 50.2045597
1980 30.1739 48.2222 21.6039 53.11261996
1981 31.8807 46.11 22.0093 58.47213071
1982 33.3888 44.765 21.8462 59.74807973
1983 33.1797 44.3796 22.4408 60.20643567
1984 32.132 43.0865 24.7815 66.12188978
1985 28.4426 42.8858 28.6716 65.50106507
1986 27.1401 43.7238 29.1361 73.87511062
1987 26.811 43.5506 29.6383 74.90495322
1988 25.6957 43.7897 30.5146 70.14175464
1989 25.105 42.8311 32.0639 84.50935929
1990 27.1162 41.3407 31.5432 94.71217168
1991 24.5263 41.7887 33.685 97.96295291
1992 21.7899 43.4546 34.7555 97.76932039
1993 19.7084 46.5684 33.7232 93.23362825
1994 19.8612 46.5693 33.5695 82.94144799
1995 19.9623 47.175 32.8627 83.14031836
1996 19.691 47.5366 32.7724 85.92234966
1997 18.2871 47.539 34.1739 94.86035328
1998 17.556 46.2122 36.2318 102.5139371
1999 16.4702 45.7571 37.7727 104.5242846
2000 15.063 45.9165 39.0204 100.157785
2001 14.3917 45.1527 40.4556 102.4256306
2002 13.7427 44.7898 41.4675 109.1091712
2003 12.7974 45.969 41.2337 117.0613854
2004 13.3931 46.2253 40.3815 111.4585017
2005 12.123 47.3664 40.5106 105.2734777
2006 11.1135 47.9485 40.938 104.1757613
2007 10.7697 47.3388 41.8915 98.45028364
2008 10.7316 47.4465 41.822 96.63188032
2009 10.3332 46.2416 43.4253 117.2430925
2010 10.0952 46.6693 43.2355 119.3476287
2011 10 46.6 43.4 115.8195007
2012 10.1 45.3 44.6 121.3120184

板凳

nnudengbin 发表于 2013-7-27 11:05:52

CY1 CY2 CY3 LOAN
1978 28.1886 47.8764 23.935 50.75142978
1979 31.2656 47.1006 21.6337 50.2045597
1980 30.1739 48.2222 21.6039 53.11261996
1981 31.8807 46.11 22.0093 58.47213071
1982 33.3888 44.765 21.8462 59.74807973
1983 33.1797 44.3796 22.4408 60.20643567
1984 32.132 43.0865 24.7815 66.12188978
1985 28.4426 42.8858 28.6716 65.50106507
1986 27.1401 43.7238 29.1361 73.87511062
1987 26.811 43.5506 29.6383 74.90495322
1988 25.6957 43.7897 30.5146 70.14175464
1989 25.105 42.8311 32.0639 84.50935929
1990 27.1162 41.3407 31.5432 94.71217168
1991 24.5263 41.7887 33.685 97.96295291
1992 21.7899 43.4546 34.7555 97.76932039
1993 19.7084 46.5684 33.7232 93.23362825
1994 19.8612 46.5693 33.5695 82.94144799
1995 19.9623 47.175 32.8627 83.14031836
1996 19.691 47.5366 32.7724 85.92234966
1997 18.2871 47.539 34.1739 94.86035328
1998 17.556 46.2122 36.2318 102.5139371
1999 16.4702 45.7571 37.7727 104.5242846
2000 15.063 45.9165 39.0204 100.157785
2001 14.3917 45.1527 40.4556 102.4256306
2002 13.7427 44.7898 41.4675 109.1091712
2003 12.7974 45.969 41.2337 117.0613854
2004 13.3931 46.2253 40.3815 111.4585017
2005 12.123 47.3664 40.5106 105.2734777
2006 11.1135 47.9485 40.938 104.1757613
2007 10.7697 47.3388 41.8915 98.45028364
2008 10.7316 47.4465 41.822 96.63188032
2009 10.3332 46.2416 43.4253 117.2430925
2010 10.0952 46.6693 43.2355 119.3476287
2011 10 46.6 43.4 115.8195007
2012 10.1 45.3 44.6 121.3120184

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