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Vector Autoregression Estimates
Date: 03/23/14 Time: 23:59
Sample (adjusted): 2007M03 2013M12
Included observations: 82 after adjustments
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in [ ]
LY LMSSA LINFSA LI
LY(-1) 0.846844 0.011522 0.010084 0.130618
(0.11866) (0.01310) (0.00746) (0.28008)
[ 7.13686] [ 0.87982] [ 1.35115] [ 0.46636]
LY(-2) 0.040271 -0.019087 0.013363 0.168817
(0.12599) (0.01390) (0.00792) (0.29738)
[ 0.31964] [-1.37273] [ 1.68624] [ 0.56768]
LMSSA(-1) -0.504221 0.634995 -0.054943 -2.168413
(1.00773) (0.11122) (0.06339) (2.37864)
[-0.50035] [ 5.70939] [-0.86680] [-0.91162]
LMSSA(-2) 0.402092 0.361641 0.061246 2.626224
(1.00505) (0.11092) (0.06322) (2.37231)
[ 0.40007] [ 3.26028] [ 0.96882] [ 1.10703]
LINFSA(-1) 1.835198 -0.205198 0.723091 3.935465
(1.81579) (0.20040) (0.11421) (4.28597)
[ 1.01069] [-1.02393] [ 6.33111] [ 0.91822]
LINFSA(-2) -3.221404 0.285574 0.082260 0.620205
(1.67853) (0.18525) (0.10558) (3.96197)
[-1.91918] [ 1.54154] [ 0.77913] [ 0.15654]
LI(-1) 0.031958 -0.011061 0.004826 0.539266
(0.04704) (0.00519) (0.00296) (0.11104)
[ 0.67933] [-2.13043] [ 1.63082] [ 4.85644]
LI(-2) -0.007269 -6.51E-05 -0.001103 0.032051
(0.04860) (0.00536) (0.00306) (0.11473)
[-0.14954] [-0.01213] [-0.36088] [ 0.27937]
C 8.666180 -0.237776 0.630098 -29.14784
(3.95129) (0.43609) (0.24853) (9.32658)
[ 2.19325] [-0.54525] [ 2.53526] [-3.12524]
R-squared 0.899330 0.999243 0.950172 0.798657
Adj. R-squared 0.888298 0.999160 0.944711 0.776593
Sum sq. resids 0.596937 0.007271 0.002362 3.325789
S.E. equation 0.090428 0.009980 0.005688 0.213445
F-statistic 81.51773 12037.42 174.0038 36.19578
Log likelihood 85.47620 266.2005 312.3061 15.05254
Akaike AIC -1.865273 -6.273184 -7.397710 -0.147623
Schwarz SC -1.601121 -6.009032 -7.133558 0.116529
Mean dependent 7.908413 13.39364 4.638836 1.025881
S.D. dependent 0.270565 0.344248 0.024190 0.451583
Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.) 1.06E-12
Determinant resid covariance 6.64E-13
Log likelihood 684.2356
Akaike information criterion -15.81062
Schwarz criterion -14.75402
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