Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic

是 否 +2 论坛币

k人 参与回答

经管之家送您一份

应届毕业生专属福利!

求职就业群

赵安豆老师微信：zhaoandou666

经管之家联合CDA

送您一个全额奖学金名额~ !

立即领取

感谢您参与论坛问题回答

经管之家送您两个论坛币！

+2 论坛币

Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic .pdf (677.7 KB, 需要: 2 个论坛币)

2014-6-28 21:13:35 上传

Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling-JEL-201351( ...
需要: 2 个论坛币  [购买]

Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling-JEL-201351(4)
大萧条对宏观经济建模与预测的挑战与事实
Abstract
This paper provides a survey of business cycle facts, updated to take account of recent
data. Emphasis is given to the Great Recession, which was unlike most other postwar
recessions in the United States in being driven by deleveraging and financial market
factors. We document how recessions with financial market origins are different from
those driven by supply or monetary policy shocks. This helps explain why economic
models and predictors that work well at some times do poorly at other times. We
discuss challenges for forecasters and empirical researchers in light of the updated
business cycle facts.

Journal of Economic Perspective，2013年第51期。

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明：姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格，未注明则拒绝

分享0 收藏2 回帖

关键词：Forecasting Challenges MacroEcon recession Challenge different business document provides account