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英文文献：Contemporary Drivers of Global Tourism: Evidence from Terrorism and Peace Factors-全球旅游业的当代驱动力:来自恐怖主义与和平因素的证据
英文文献作者：Simplice A. Asongu,Joseph Nnanna,Nicholas Biekpe,Paul N. Acha-Anyi
英文文献摘要：
This study examines the effect of terrorism and peace on tourist destination arrivals using a panel of 163 countries with data for the period 2010 to 2015. The empirical evidence is based on Generalised Method of Moments and Negative Binomial (NB) regressions. Our best estimators are from NB regressions from which the following main findings are established. First, political instability, violent demonstrations and number of homicides negatively affect tourist arrivals while the number of incarcerations positively influences the outcome variable. Second the effects from military expenditure, ???armed service personnel?? and ???security officers and polices?? are not positively significant. Managerial implications are discussed.
这项研究利用163个国家2010年至2015年的数据，考察了恐怖主义与和平对旅游目的地到达的影响。经验证据是基于矩和负二项回归的广义方法。我们的最佳估计值来自NB回归，由此可以确定以下主要发现。首先，政治不稳定、暴力示威和杀人数量对游客入境产生负面影响，而监禁数量对结果变量产生积极影响。第二个军费开支的影响,??武装服务personnela?和??安全官员和policesa?并不积极意义重大。讨论了管理意义。
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