英文文献:Can foreign aid dampen the threat of terrorism to international trade? Evidence from 78 developing countries-外援能否缓解恐怖主义对国际贸易的威胁?来自78个发展中国家的证据
英文文献作者:Simplice Asongu,Ivo Leke
英文文献摘要:
The study investigates whether development assistance can be used to crowd-out the negative effect of terrorism on international trade. The empirical evidence is based on a panel of 78 developing countries for the period 1984-2008 and Quantile Regressions. The following main findings are established. First, bilateral aid significantly reduces the negative effect of transnational terrorism on trade in the top quantiles of the trade distribution. Second, multilateral aid also significantly mitigates the negative effect of terrorism dynamics on trade in the top quantiles of the trade distributions. It follows that it is primarily in countries with above median levels of international trade that development assistance can be used as an effective policy tool for dampening the adverse effects of terrorism on trade. Practical implications are discussed.
这项研究调查了发展援助是否可以用来掩盖恐怖主义对国际贸易的负面影响。经验证据是根据1984-2008年期间78个发展中国家的小组和分位数回归得出的。以下主要发现被证实。首先,双边援助大大降低了跨国恐怖主义对贸易分布中最主要的部分的贸易的负面影响。其次,多边援助也显著减轻了恐怖主义动态对贸易分布中最重要的部分的贸易的负面影响。因此,主要是在国际贸易中值水平以上的国家,发展援助可以被用作一种有效的政策工具,以减轻恐怖主义对贸易的不利影响。讨论了实际意义。


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