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[英文文献] Socio-economic Factors that Influence Households: Participation in Wetland ... [推广有奖]

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供给函数674 发表于 2005-8-6 03:13:10 |AI写论文

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英文文献:Socio-economic Factors that Influence Households: Participation in Wetland Cultivation: A Binary Logistic Regression of Wetland Cultivators and Noncultivators-影响家庭的社会经济因素:参与湿地种植:湿地耕种者和非耕种者的二元Logistic回归
英文文献作者:Taruvinga, Amon,Mushunje, Abbyssinia
英文文献摘要:
Increased droughts in southern Africa have noticed some appreciation of the role that partial wetland cultivation can play to address household food security. This has also witnessed some indication of possible relaxation of wetland cultivation restrictive policies in Zimbabwe. However, the general perceptions of society towards wetland cultivation remain unclear and critically important for policy crafting before blanket recommendations are made. Using a Binary Logistic Regression Model seven predictor independent variables were regressed against a binary dependent variable of wetland cultivation status of households with the implicit goal of estimating socio-economic factors capable of influencing households` participation in wetland cultivation. Results revealed that from the seven predictor variables, six variables had a significant influence, while one variable was not significant. The implied message centres on careful articulation of such a policy given the fact that, the dominant age group (young and educated household heads) had a negative attitude towards wetland cultivation, a crucial factor that may risk its rejection if put under a referendum. Intuitively results conjecture a bleak future for partial wetland cultivation as a possible land use because the expected future generation (current young and educated household heads) currently shares a negative attitude towards partial wetland cultivation.

南非干旱的增加已经注意到,人们对部分湿地种植在解决家庭粮食安全方面所能发挥的作用有了一些认识。这也表明津巴布韦可能会放松对湿地种植的限制政策。然而,社会对湿地种植的普遍看法仍然不清楚,这对于在提出全面建议之前制定政策至关重要。利用二元Logistic回归模型对家庭湿地种植状况的二元因变量回归7个预测自变量,隐含的目的是估计能够影响家庭参与湿地种植的社会经济因素。结果显示,在7个预测变量中,有6个变量影响显著,1个变量影响不显著。其中隐含的信息集中在该政策的谨慎表述上,因为占主导地位的年龄群体(年轻和受过教育的户主)对湿地种植持负面态度,这是一个关键因素,如果进行全民公投,可能会遭到拒绝。直观的结果是,部分湿地种植作为可能的土地利用前景黯淡,因为预期的下一代(目前年轻且受过教育的户主)目前对部分湿地种植持负面态度。
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