Cash Transfer Programmes for Managing Climate Risk: Evidence from a Randomi...

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英文文献：Cash Transfer Programmes for Managing Climate Risk: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Zambia-管理气候风险的现金转移方案:来自赞比亚一项随机实验的证据
英文文献作者：Asfaw, Solomon,Carraro, Alessandro,Davis, Benjamin,Handa, Sudhanshu,Seidenfeld, David
英文文献摘要：
Cash transfer programmes are increasingly being utilized in order to combat poverty and hunger as well as to building the human capital of future generations. Even though most of these programmes are not explicitly designed to help households manage climate risk, there are good reasons to expect that cash transfers can be good instrument to build household resilience against climatic risk. The goal of this study is to provide an empirical analysis of the effect of weather risk on rural households’ welfare using impact evaluation data from the Zambia Child Grant Programme (CGP) together with set of novel weather variation indicators based on interpolated gridded and re-analysis weather data that capture the peculiar features of short term and long term variations in rainfall. In particular, we estimate the impact of weather shocks on a rich set of welfare and food security indicators (including total expenditure, food expenditure, non-food expenditure, calorie intake and dietary diversity) and investigate the role of cash transfer for managing climate risk. We find strong evidence that cash transfer programmes has a mitigating role against the negative effects of weather shocks. Our results in fact highlight how important the receipt of social cash transfer is for households lying in the bottom quantile of consumption and food security distributions in moderating the negative effect of weather shock. Hence, integrating climate change and social protection tools into a comprehensive poverty reduction and social protection strategy should be of primary interest for policy makers and government when setting their policy agenda.

越来越多地使用现金转移方案，以消除贫穷和饥饿，并为后代建立人力资本。尽管大多数这些方案并不是明确为帮助家庭管理气候风险而设计的，但我们有充分的理由认为，现金转移可以成为建立家庭抵御气候风险能力的良好工具。本研究的目的是提供一个天气风险的影响的实证分析农村家庭的福利使用影响评估数据赞比亚儿童资助计划(本金保证产品)一起组小说有关天气天气变化指标基于插值的网格和数据捕获的特殊特性短期和长期降雨的变化。特别是，我们评估了气候冲击对一系列福利和粮食安全指标(包括总支出、粮食支出、非粮食支出、卡路里摄入量和饮食多样性)的影响，并调查了现金转移在管理气候风险方面的作用。我们发现强有力的证据表明，现金转移计划可以减轻气候冲击的负面影响。事实上，我们的结果强调了社会现金转移的接收对于处于消费和粮食安全分配底层的家庭来说，在缓和天气冲击的负面影响方面是多么重要。因此，将气候变化和社会保护工具纳入全面的减贫和社会保护战略应该是决策者和政府在制定其政策议程时的首要利益。

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