英文文献:Economic Evaluation Of Income Protection Choices For West Tennessee Corn Producers-西田纳西州玉米生产者收入保障选择的经济评价
英文文献作者:Philpot, Walter,Larson, James A.,Stokes, Jeffrey R.
英文文献摘要:
Farmers need information about the expected value and variability of net revenues for alternative crop insurance and futures hedging strategies to manage risk. Specifically, the model will determine which risk management strategies are most desirable under various levels of risk aversion. The unstable futures basis relation in the data used in the simulation model contributed to increased variability of net revenues. In general, none of the crop insurance or hedging strategies markedly reduced variability of net revenue and relative riskiness when compared with the cash strategy. Revenue Assurance strategies were the most effective at setting a floor on net revenues. As a result, Revenue Assurance products may perform well for extremely risk averse producers.
农民需要了解净收益的期望值和变异性,以便采用替代作物保险和期货对冲策略来管理风险。具体地说,该模型将确定在各种风险规避水平下最可取的风险管理策略。模拟模型中使用的数据中不稳定的期货基础关系导致净收入的变异性增加。一般而言,与现金策略相比,农作物保险或对冲策略都不能显著降低净收益的可变性和相对风险。收入保证策略在为净收入设定下限方面是最有效的。因此,对于极度厌恶风险的生产商来说,收益保证产品可能表现良好。