山西证券-2009年宏观经济展望：世界经济、出口与通胀-090119

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2009-1-20 13:45:00 上传

山西证券-2009年宏观经济展望：世界经济、出口与通胀-090119
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正文目录
1.金融危机下，全球经济放缓已成定局·············3
1.1美国：经济已入严冬···············································4
1.2欧元区：经济深陷衰退············································7
1.3日本：陷入“L”型衰退··········································8
2.出口疲软，政策支撑····································10
2.1中国出口形势严峻·················································10
2.2危机中也有亮点，政策支持是有力武器················13
2.3内外需求减弱致使进口下滑··································15
3.通缩阴影重现···············································17
3.1输入性通缩迫使物价回落······································18
3.2国内食品价格进入下行周期，拉动物价下行·········19
3.3宏观政策的正反效应·············································21

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关键词：宏观经济 世界经济 山西证券 经济展望 食品价格 世界 宏观经济 通胀 展望 山西证券

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