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英文文献：Food Safety Regulations And Global Food Trade Patterns-食品安全法规和全球食品贸易模式
英文文献作者：Otsuki, Tsunehiro,Wilson, John S.
英文文献摘要：
This study assesses the impact of adopting international food safety standards and regional harmonization of standards on global trade patterns of cereals, dried fruits and nuts. The paper develops econometric models to estimate the effect of aflatoxin standards in 15 importing countries on the export from 31 (21 developing ) countries in the world. Results are combined to predict how the direction of trade is altered by food safety regulations under alternative scenarios. Adopting international food safety standards recommended by Codex is found to increase the trade among these countries by 5.3 percent. At the level where the increase and decrease in trade flow are break-even, EU countries increase both imports and exports whereas the decrease in trade flow among developing countries outweighs the improved access of these countries to the EU market.
这项研究评估了采用国际食品安全标准和区域统一标准对全球谷物、干果和坚果贸易模式的影响。本文建立计量经济学模型，评估15个进口国黄曲霉毒素标准对世界31(21)个发展中国家出口的影响。结果结合预测如何改变贸易方向的食品安全法规下的替代方案。采用食品法典委员会建议的国际食品安全标准可使这些国家之间的贸易增加5.3%。在贸易流量的增加和减少达到收支平衡的水平上，欧盟国家的进出口都在增加，而发展中国家之间贸易流量的减少超过了这些国家进入欧盟市场的机会的改善。
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