楼主: xiaomuzi
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不可交割远期是什么意思? [推广有奖]

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楼主
xiaomuzi 发表于 2005-9-16 12:47:00 |AI写论文

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"离岸市场,1年期美元/人民币不可交割远期的买入/卖出价为7.8450/7.8550"

请问大家,不可交割远期是什么意思呢?按字面意思理解,假如真是到期了不可以交割的话,那还买卖它干什么,没有实际货币交换吗???

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关键词:是什么意思 离岸市场 卖出价 人民币 意思 远期 交割

沙发
zzyz 发表于 2005-9-16 13:48:00

The RMB NDF (Non-Deliverable Forward) is a kind of financial derivative instrument that helps the foreign companies in china or the companies with transactions overseas to hedge their foreign exchange risk. As the foreign exchange regime of china has been undergoing a dramatic change recently, the importance of a variety of forex derivatives looms large.

The RMB NDF is drawn on in the following ways (bear in mind that RMB in this case is treated as asset while USD as money): for instance, the accounts receivable of a foreign company may be credited in 3 months and the company is going to sell the RMB to be received for USD at the request from its parent company in US. In order to circumvent the risks involved in 3 months, the company may well sell the RMB NDF at 7.8550 to the bank which operates offshore NDF business. 3 month later, if the RMB depreciates to 7.8600, the company can get the principle times (1/7.8550-1/7.8600) USD from the bank to offset the loss incurred in the spot market, where it sells the RMB at 7.8600 and get the principle times 1/7.8600 USD in return. So the cash inflow of the company at the end of the 3-month period consists of two elements, one from the forward, the other from the spot, adding up to the total, namely, the principle times 1/7.8550. Note that 7.8550 is the rate initially intended. The difference between NDF and DF lies in the fact that NDF is settled by cash and DF is settled by delivering the underlying assets.

The bank itself evades the risk by trying to maintain zero-open-position and earns its profit by buying forward RMB at lower value of 7.8550 and selling at higher value of 7.8450. The spread is meant to be huge as such due to the illiquidity in the RMB NDF market. In order to maintain zero-open-position, the bank will be forced to move the bid or ask price. Therefore the effective gain is always less than the spread. If the spread is not sufficiently large, the bank will be exposed to risk. However, the bank sometimes intends to take the position when the forward price of RMB is too high or too low. For example, when the speculators push the price too high, the bank may sell the NDF at the asked price under the request of the buyer without offsetting its open position immediately by gearing up the bid price until the same amount of the forward is bought, because the bank is expecting the price to fall sooner or later so that it may earn a speculative profit from its clients in the forward market.

[此贴子已经被作者于2005-9-16 13:58:44编辑过]

藤椅
stoneren 发表于 2005-9-16 14:22:00

ndf

新加坡有人民币ndf,以美圆结算

non delivered forward

板凳
stone1 发表于 2005-9-16 16:44:00

请问,在那里可以查到一些关于人民币ndf在香港和新加坡交易的信息。

报纸
laotu 发表于 2005-9-16 16:45:00

ndf

其实是只进行货币结算而不进行标的物交割

地板
zwh7059 发表于 2005-9-16 16:58:00
人民币不可交割远期市场的存在,对冲基金并不是一比一进入中国。然而,由于对冲基金可以在国际市场上买一些人民币远期交割的指数合约,因此资金相当于被放大了很多倍。这是一个存在于中国境外银行和客户间的市场,用美元结算用人民币交易的客户差价,但不真正发生交割。通过指数合约,假如有1亿能够进入内地,最后的效果可能通过杠杆原理,被放大10倍。
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7
xiaomuzi 发表于 2005-9-16 19:15:00

人民币不可交割远期市场存在的意义是什么呢?2楼的写了很多,都是英文,看得我好累,谢谢啊

8
zhangjoey 发表于 2005-9-16 23:58:00

人民币在海外不是自由兑换的货币,所以在离岸市场上无法实现人民币的交割,但是可以参照当时的人民币兑其他外汇的即期汇率用外汇交割汇差。

至于为什么存在,假设外国在华的公司预期将收到人民的红利而要汇回国内,那么自然可以使用RMB-NDF实现套保。

9
xiaomuzi 发表于 2005-9-17 12:32:00
好象明白了好多[em01]

10
fatalblove 发表于 2005-9-17 22:49:00

有所悟

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