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1、Griffin, D.W.,&Varey,C.A. (1996).Towards a consensus on overconfidence. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,65, 227–231. 连接：http://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jobhdp/v65y1996i3p227-231.html

2、Wallsten, T. S. (1996). An analysis of judgment research analyses. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 220–226.连接：http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6WP2-45N42CJ-2B/2/02038c44fe08c72b8c6e4bc25105bc7d

3、Buehler R, Griffin D, Ross M. Exploring the ‘planning fallacy’: Why people underestimate their task completion time. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1994, 67: 366~381 连接：http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleURL&_udi=B6WJB-4FXWX0P-2&_user=2324792&_rdoc=1&_fmt=&_orig=search&_sort=d&view=c&_acct=C000056916&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=2324792&md5=af09a6222f42211bcf063858030b8329

4、Buehler R, Griffin D, Ross M. Exploring the ‘planning fallacy’: Why people underestimate their task completion time. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1994, 67: 366~381 连接：http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=4219026

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