小川英治Eiji Ogawa论文之十一 On the Desirability of a Regional Basket Currency

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区域性一篮子货币安排的好处，On the Desirability of a Regional Basket Currency Arrangement，by Eiji Ogawa and Takatoshi Ito,发表于December 12, 2001，Abstract：This paper constructs a theoretical model of international trade in order to examine an  ptimal exchange rate regime for (Asian) emerging market economies that export goods to the United States, Japan, and neighboring  countries. The optimality of the exchange rate regime is defined as minimizing the fluctuation of trade balances, in the environment where the yen-dollar exchange rate fluctuates exogenously. Since the de facto dollar peg regime is blamed as one of the factors that caused the Asian currency crisis, the question of the optimal exchange rate regime is quite relevant in Asia. The novelty of this paper is to show how an emerging market economy’s choice of the exchange rate regime (or weights in the basket) is dependent on the neighboring country’s. The dollar weights in the currency baskets of the two countries are determined as a Nash equilibrium. We show that they may be stuck at the dollar peg system in both stable and unstable equilibrium cases. Even in a stable equilibrium case, there are multiple equilibria and a “coordination failure” may occur.

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关键词：regional currency Ability Region basket Takatoshi Ito Eiji Ogawa

兄台很喜欢小川的文章哦  也是搞亚元研究的？