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经济走势的预测进行了简短的批判性回顾。文章中同时对近期受记者访谈的格林斯潘、巴菲特针对
经济走势的观点进行了简评。
希望本篇文章的转摘会对美国经济感兴趣的朋友能有所帮助。
原文如下：
Dan Gainor
- FOXNews.com
- August 04, 2009
Don't Be Fooled by Media 'Experts' on the Economy
We've already lost 3.4 million jobs but journalists keep reporting the economy is better than
consumers think it is. Huh?
What goes up must come down. Unless it goes down further, sideways or moves
some other way that no one really predicted.
That's the way economics really works and no matter how many talking heads -- right, left and center
-- tell you otherwise, most don't have a clue what direction things are headed.
From gas prices to the stock market to jobs, the people who act like they know everything often know nothing.
Sure, many economists -- Greenspan, Geithner, Krugman, Zandi -- are brilliant.
Then there are the media types like Williams and Couric and before her Rather.
None of them could find prosperity even if it were just around the corner.
Here are the facts. Most of those so-called experts have been wrong about the major
economic moves of the past several years. The left treated the robust economy of
the George Bush years like it was a Michael Vick puppy mill .
I bet Obama would trade in every czar he owns for a number even approaching
the unemployment rates found under Bush.
Two million new jobs were created in 2005, and the average unemployment rate
was 5.1 percent. That didn't stop the press from trying to make it look bad. More than
half the stories about jobs on the evening news shows were about losses and layoffs.
CBS even opened the new year pessimistically. "With big business struggling,
unsteady interest rates and signs of a recession, the best some forecasters are
hoping for in 2006 is an average year," said reporter Sharyn Alfonsi on Jan. 1, 2006.
Bush got abused almost daily when unemployment was almost half what it is now.
Joblessness never went about 6.3 percent in all eight years -- even including one recession.
Contrast that with 2009. We've already lost 3.4 million jobs and the year is barely half over.
But Dow Jones tells us that journalists keep reporting that the economy is better than
consumers think it is. The Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator, which analyzes
media coverage of the economy, "continued its longest improvement trend in more than four years."
So consumer confidence continues to drop because we're dropping jobs faster than
Obama makes promises. And the media are reporting that things are better than they
seem to the public. Dow Jones shows what any news consumer knows already -- media
economic coverage has been getting more and more positive throughout the Obama
presidency. The index has gone up each of the last five months.
That, despite the endless reminders from liberals that things will continue to get worse
economically. In his weekly radio address on Aug. 2, Obama said the new numbers
out this week are "likely to show that we are continuing to lose far too many jobs in
this country." Only last month, Vice President Biden underscored that "we misread
how bad the economy was."
（未完待续）
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