The Big Picture: Production And Environmental Impacts Of Reduced Us Obesity...

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英文文献：The Big Picture: Production And Environmental Impacts Of Reduced Us Obesity-大图:减少美国肥胖的生产和环境影响
英文文献作者：Johansson, Robert C.,Mancino, Lisa,Cooper, Joseph C.
英文文献摘要：
This paper assesses how successfully reducing the incidence of overweight and obesity in the US to meet public health objectives might influence agricultural production. We also examine the consequent agri-environmental effects of the production changes. Our estimates show that a reduction in aggregate consumption by between 2 and 6 percent, associated with public health goals being met, would lead to reduced production of primary agricultural commodities, increased exports, and reduced discharge of agricultural pollutants. In both cases, neither the estimated changes in commodity production nor the subsequent environmental impacts would be uniform across the landscape. Results indicate that in value terms, the largest changes (either positive or negative) in agricultural producer net returns would occur in the Corn Belt and the Lake States; conversely, the largest impacts on consumer surplus would occur in the Northeast and Pacific regions.

本文评估了在美国减少超重和肥胖的发生率以达到公共健康目标对农业生产的影响。我们还研究了生产变化所带来的农业-环境影响。我们的估计显示，在实现公共卫生目标的前提下，总消费减少2%至6%，将导致初级农产品生产减少、出口增加和农业污染物排放减少。在这两种情况下，商品生产的估计变化或随后的环境影响在整个景观中都不是统一的。结果表明，以价值计算，农业生产者净收益的最大变化(或正或负)发生在玉米带和湖州;相反，对消费者剩余影响最大的将是东北和太平洋地区。

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