英文文献:Economic impact of biofuel chains in France-法国生物燃料链的经济影响
英文文献作者:Sourie, Jean-Claude,Treguer, David,Rozakis, Stelios
英文文献摘要:
Given the current situation with the high price of oil (an average of $53 per barrel in 2005) and the risk of global warming, the European Union (EU) is reinforcing its objectives related to the production of biofuels: they should account for 5.75% of the overall fuel consumption by 2010 in France, as opposed to 1% in 2005. In keeping with the objective set for 2010, the biodiesel derived from rapeseed is still the preferred biofuel (27.5 million hectolitres projected), compared to the ethanol derived from wheat or sugarbeet (9.3 million hectolitres projected). Our model makes it possible to foresee that there will be a competition between food and energy crops by 2006 and that this will occur even before all of the fallow areas are requisitioned. Our paper stresses the fact that the energy and economic advantages of first-generation biofuels are not sufficient to replace large quantities of petroleum resources.
鉴于目前形势与高石油价格(2005年的平均每桶53美元)和全球变暖的危险,欧盟(EU)加强其目标相关生物燃料的生产:他们应该占总油耗的5.75%到2010年在法国,而不是2005年的1%。为了与2010年设定的目标保持一致,从油菜籽中提取的生物柴油仍然是首选的生物燃料(预计为2750万升),而从小麦或甜菜中提取的乙醇(预计为930万升)则相反。我们的模型可以预测到2006年粮食作物和能源作物之间的竞争,甚至在所有休耕地区被征用之前就会发生。我们的论文强调,第一代生物燃料的能源和经济优势不足以取代大量的石油资源。


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