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英文文献：Tarnishing Silver Bullets: Bt Technology Adoption, Bounded Rationality and the Outbreak of Secondary Pest Infestations in China-消除病虫害的银弹:Bt技术的采用、有限理性和次生虫害在中国的爆发
英文文献作者：Just, David R.,Wang, Shenghui,Pinstrup-Andersen, Per
英文文献摘要：
As with other technologies, adoption of Bt seed requires technology specific knowledge. Growing secondary pest populations have slowly eroded the benefits of Bt technology in China. We illustrate the effects of introducing Bt technology among farmers with an imperfect knowledge of secondary pest problems using a simple dynamic model. The stochastic dominance tests based on primary household data from 1999-2001 and 2004 in China provide strong evidence that secondary pests, if unanticipated, could completely erode all benefits from Bt cotton cultivation. Our empirical tests also suggest that planting refuge concurrent with Bt adoption provides for the sustainable development of Bt technology.
与其他技术一样，Bt种子的采用需要技术方面的专门知识。次级害虫数量的增长已经慢慢侵蚀了Bt技术在中国的好处。我们使用一个简单的动态模型来说明在对次生害虫问题不了解的农民中引入Bt技术的影响。基于1999-2001年和2004年中国主要家庭数据的随机显性检验提供了强有力的证据，表明如果次生害虫没有预料到，可能会完全侵蚀Bt棉花种植的所有效益。实验结果还表明，在采用Bt的同时进行避难，有利于Bt技术的可持续发展。
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