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英文文献：Imports in the Washington State Economy: Importance and Regional Effects of Import Liberalization-华盛顿州经济中的进口:进口自由化的重要性和区域效应
英文文献作者：Wieck, Christine,Wahl, Thomas I.
英文文献摘要：
This paper focuses on the import side of a regional economy quantifying the economic impact of import levels and trade liberalization. An innovation represents the linkage of a regional with a national model by combining two separate Computable General Equilibrium models into one framework. This allows for import price formation in liberalization scenarios on the national level and subsequent incorporation of these nationally simulated prices into the regional model. The regional model is applied to Washington State, one of the most trade dependent states of the U.S, the national model to the U.S. Data for the two identically structured models origin from the IMPLAN database which divides the U.S. and Washington economy into 509 industries. For both models, Monte Carlo techniques are used to mitigate parameter uncertainty inherent in CGE specifications. Two scenarios are simulated that differ in the assumptions about the macroeconomic and factor market adjustment options of the economies.
本文主要研究区域经济的进口方面，量化进口水平和贸易自由化对经济的影响。创新通过将两个独立可计算的一般均衡模型合并到一个框架中，代表了区域与国家模型的联系。这样就可以在国家一级的自由化设想中形成进口价格，然后将这些国家模拟的价格纳入区域模式。区域模型应用于美国贸易依赖度最高的州之一华盛顿州，国家模型应用于美国数据。两种结构相同的模型源自IMPLAN数据库，该数据库将美国和华盛顿州的经济划分为509个产业。对于这两个模型，都使用蒙特卡罗技术来减轻CGE规范中固有的参数不确定性。模拟了两种不同的经济宏观经济和要素市场调整选择假设。
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