New year, new Federal Reserve

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New year, new Federal Reserve[size=0.8em]By Gavyn Davies
[size=1.1em]

In recent weeks, there has been a major change in market expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate policy in 2019.

In early October, with chairman Jay Powell still sounding hawkish, markets expected that there would be three rate hikes of 25 basis points each next year, taking monetary policy decisively into restrictive territory. These expectations have now melted away and the forward markets show only one hike in 2019.

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