[教材与书籍] The Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You

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the Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
by Scott E. Page  (Author)

About the Author
Scott E. Page is the Leonid Hurwicz Collegiate Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan and an external faculty member of the Santa Fe Institute.

About this book
How anyone can become a data ninja
From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models--from linear regression to random walks and far beyond--that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

Table of contents
1 The Many-Model Thinker
2 Why Model?
3 The Science of Many Models
4 Modeling Human Actors
5 Normal Distributions: The Bell Curve
6 Power-Law Distributions: Long Tails
7 Linear Models
8 Concavity and Convexity
9 Models of Value and Power
10 Network Models
11 Broadcast, Diffusion, and Contagion
12 Entropy: Modeling Uncertainty
13 Random Walks
14 Path Dependence
15 Local Interaction Models
16 Lyapunov Functions and Equilibria
17 Markov Models
18 Systems Dynamics Models
19 Threshold Models with Feedbacks
20 Spatial and Hedonic Choice
21 Game Theory Models Times Three
22 Models of Cooperation
23 Collective Action Problems
24 Mechanism Design
25 Signaling Models
26 Learning Models
27 Multi-Armed Bandit Problems
28 Rugged-Landscape Models
29 Opioids, Inequality, and Humility
About the Author
Notes
Bibliography
Index

Length: 448 pages
Publisher: Basic Books (November 27, 2018)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0465094627
ISBN-13: 978-0465094622

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