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Price is currently in the SECOND 4 daycycle, of the SECOND 8 day cycle, of the FIRST 16 day cycle, of the SECOND 34day cycle, of the 65 day cycle.
Updated FPA reveals that the dominant cyclehas a wavelength of 34.2d, or 34 bars. This is assumed to be the 40d nominalwave, which implies that all waves will be approximately the same (0% variance)as nominal. This cycle is beginning to RISE, and is accelerating. Theunderlying trend to this cycle is currently slightly UP, likely slowing down.Recent fulfilled projections however would seem to indicate that the underlyingtrend is STRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influenceprices to rise for a short time, and then form a peak.
The sub-dominant cycle (next wave down fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 16.7d, or 17 bars. This is assumed tobe the 20d nominal wave. This cycle is overdue for a TROUGH (and a very minornest-of-highs). This cycle is overdue for a turn, so possibly this cycle hasjust started, or is about to start the second wave of 2 sub-waves. Theunderlying trend to this cycle is currently strongly UP. Recent fulfilledprojections however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend isSTRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence pricesvery little because despite near-term volatility the FLD becomes range-bound.
The pre-dominant cycle (next wave up fromthe dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 65.0d, or 65 bars. This is assumed tobe the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is RISING, probably slowing down as itapproaches a PEAK (and a small nest-of-highs). The underlying trend to thiscycle is currently slightly UP, likely accelerating. Recent fulfilledprojections however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend isSTRONGLY DOWN. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence pricesto RISE.
Σ L is currently UP (strength: 1), and accelerating.
The 34.2d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 16.7d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY UP (strength: 2 cycles), and accelerating.
The 8.3d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently UP (strength: 1)
The 4.2d CYCLE component of Σ L iscurrently STRONGLY DOWN (strength: -3 cycles), and accelerating.
The last phasing analysis was 1 bar ago. Inthat time price has FALLEN by 29.5 to 1886.50.
FLD PATTERN PROGRESSION:
Sequence Ref #0 is expected to reach aHIGHER target of 2006.56(5.54 diff) by the same date, on 2019/9/16
Sequence Ref #1 is expected to reach aLOWER target of 1655.20(-72.68 diff) by the same date, on 2019/10/2
DETAILED FLD PATTERN/PRICE CORRELATION:
Price did not move UP as it was expected toby the FIRST sequence (ref #0) of the previous pattern and so has got no closerto the target of 2006.56. The closest price has gotten to this target so far is1924.00 (4.1% short), 1 bar ago. This target is only expected to be achieved in12 bars, but it MIGHT be necessary to consider this target as having beenachieved with a shortfall. The crossing of the 8 day VTL (expected today) hasNOT YET occurred. The crossing of the 16 day FLD (expected 0.5 bars ago) hasNOT YET occurred, however as this cross was expected so late in the cycle, thishas no impact on the pattern development.
The SECOND sequence (ref #1)'s trigger isexpected in 12.5 bar(s) and so we are not comparing pattern/price progress forthis sequence.
CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:
Price has fallen over the past 14 bars(last close 1886.5) in a generally RANGE-BOUND price movement, in an UPWARD FLDpattern.
The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0)projects a price movement UP to a target of 2006.56 by about 2019/9/16. Pricemight cross OVER the 34 day FLD on 2019/9/12 & level: 1926.02 however thisFLD cross is too late in the cycle to be considered valid, and so it is morelikely that the FLD will form resistance at this level.
The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1)projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1655.20 by about 2019/10/2.
OUTSTANDING FLD PROJECTIONS:
65.0d: no projection
34.2d: no projection
16.7d: no projection
8.3d Refined FLD projection created on2019/9/1 projecting a price rise of 63.5862 to 1958.1720 by 2019/9/3. This isstill a valid projection target. Normal FLD projection created on 2019/9/1projecting a price rise of 57.7084 to 1946.4170 by 2019/9/5. This is still avalid projection target.
4.2d Normal FLD projection created on2019/8/31 projecting a price rise of 49.1250 to 1929.2500 by 2019/9/3. This isstill a valid projection target.
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给大家普及一下常识：国内期权做市主要平台是国外的 ORC 和 Horizon，代表性公司有海通证券、东方证券、弘业期货、银河期货等等。整体水平也就那样了。。。。。。。。
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