Population Dynamics, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Kenya-肯尼亚的人口...

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英文文献：Population Dynamics, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Kenya-肯尼亚的人口动态、经济增长和能源消耗
英文文献作者：Michieka, Nyakundi,Fletcher, Jerald J.
英文文献摘要：
Kenya is a small open economy that depends on energy for growth. Since independence in 1963, it has experienced tremendous urban and rural population growth, placing an increasing strain on energy resources and economic development. Therefore, in this paper the relationship between urban and rural populations, economic development, and energy use is studied. The empirical analysis uses a vector autoregression framework. The Granger Causality test results suggest unidirectional causality running from urban population to GDP. The vector error decomposition results imply that urban growth will continue to play a major role in energy consumption in Kenya.

肯尼亚是一个依赖能源增长的小型开放经济体。自1963年独立以来，它经历了巨大的城市和农村人口增长，给能源和经济发展带来越来越大的压力。因此，本文对城乡人口、经济发展和能源利用之间的关系进行了研究。实证分析采用向量自回归框架。格兰杰因果检验结果表明，城市人口与GDP之间存在单向因果关系。向量误差分解结果表明，城市增长将继续在肯尼亚的能源消耗中发挥主要作用。

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