Volatility Trading

请教一下Volatility Modelling和trading的方法.用GARCH, EGARCH做完forecast以后改如何trade?
已经知道的方法有三种:
1. straddle
2. Delta Hedged option
3. Variance Swap
前两种有什么不一样,再实施的时候应该注意些什么问题?

I think there are two different issue here.
First, use stochastic vol  or garch to fit or predict vol, this is normally used in statistical arbitrage trade, where you correlate the market dynamic with your model parameters.
Second, long/short volatility strategies. This is based on your view of the implied vol  or implied vol against realized vol.  Regarding to the difference between the covered call and the straddle, I think for the previous one you need to continuously rebalance your stock position to make it delta neutral, in which situation you will bear the risk from the gamma weighted realized vol and BS vol difference. For the straddle, I don't think you need to make it delta neutral. There are conparisons between the three strategies. It is is hard to tell which strategy is definitely better than the others.
Third, it is also popular to trade the vol of vols and dispersions.

不管怎么做，你都是输钱的，因为你干不过他们的电脑

你干不过他们的电脑