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后“金融危机时代”必读书
下一轮全球金融 "Fixing Global Finance"
by Martin Wolf
马丁·沃尔夫 (英国）
《下一轮全球金融》对于中国的读者和政策制定者有很高的参考价值。不论是否愿意，中国需要改变其政策。中国对于这次危机的第一反应就是鼓励国内消费和投资。而长期来看，其需要的是一条更为平衡的发展之路，其被压制的国内消费应该发挥更大的作用。作者认为，再次增加已经非常庞大的投资这一方法，已经被证实是不能够长期持续的，也被证明是一种浪费。
正如哈佛大学著名经济学教授马丁·费尔德斯坦所说的：“没有人能够比马丁·沃尔夫更明白、更会解释国际经济和汇率问题。《下一轮全球金融》-- 它可以帮助每个人更深入地了解这些问题。”
In his latest, author and economics journalist Wolf (Why Globalization Works) pronounces the current, "nearly inevitable" global economic crisis the product of a "perfect storm" of global macroeconomic imbalances: the scale of net borrowing by the U.S. and the lack of corporate demand for outside funding, exacerbated by aggressive monetary easing, consequent financial excess, and the housing bubble. Wolf's writing is hardly popular economics, requiring some work to understand and absorb, but it bridges a gap in economic understanding not yet addressed by Congressional subcommittees or the media, whose only suspects thus far have been Republican free market policy and Wall Street greed. The primary problem, argues Wolf, is global reliance on the United States as the borrower of last resort. Whether Wolf is correct is another question-determining that would require putting his suggested policies into action. Domestic financial housecleaning aside, Wolf's plan includes countries like China finding domestic uses for their enormous account surpluses and emerging countries creating first-world financial systems that complement but don't depend upon global financial markets, goals requiring significant international cooperation. Heavy but rewarding, Wolf's analysis fills in a lot of blanks for those seeking to understand the new U.S. recession in a global context.
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