交易纪录

710# feng-pan

对数化我理解的是对数坐标图，不是这个意思？

Daily review (weekend)
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personal view by feng.
Date: 10.22 Fri.

First of all, this is the general view on the S&P:
Unless this judgement has been proven wrong, we are still in the 3-rd wave up. Best strategy is still buy-into dips, until the start of the 4-th wave correction.
The best support level in the 3-rd wave so far had been daily EMA10, daily SMA20, cash market gap, weekly fib level 50% and 61.8%.




As for this week:
See S&P emini hourly chart below.


Monday
The market took a higher high and finished the measured move started form last week. But soon back into the sideway range on the daily chart.
Tuesday
On the news of China’s interest rate hike, sellers pushed the price out of the daily chart range and made the effort of a correction. The low of the day wasn’t even close to the daily SMA20, which signalled some weakness of the sellers.
Wednesday
A whole different story from the previous day. With buyers egger to buy into dips and sellers’ stop taken out on the way up, price rallied all day and wiped out Tuesday’s loss. The day finished quite bullishly.
Thursday
The market finally succeeded in the effort of taking out the upper range of the daily chart sideway. But with the oversold condition and the absence of a proper overall retrace, price didn’t broke too far away. In stand, it retraced back for finding some footing. At the end of the day, 61.8% weekly fib retrace level held for the low of the day, which could be another measured move as a continues formation as long as this 61.8% fib level holds.
Friday
With the absence of news or data, it turned out to be an inside range day, which is quite normal considering Thursday’s higher high just been made and the market didn’t really have a intension on this Friday.
Next week
On the upside, next week should see a higher high soon, as long as the 61.8% holds for the continuous formation.
On the downside, support level is the 61.8% fib level, daily EMA10, daily SMA20, and this week’s low. These levels should provide good support unless the 4-th wave correction starts.

mambaa 发表于 2010-10-23 02:08
710# feng-pan

对数化我理解的是对数坐标图，不是这个意思？

是的，价格以e为底取对数。 也就是说纵轴不是价格，而是ln(价格)。 对数图是用来研究超长期走势的，比如100年。 它可以看到普通的价格图看不到的趋势结构。

713# feng-pan
好像只有普通坐标和半对数坐标的，半对数坐标是纵轴上相等的距离代表相同的百分比（《股市趋势技术分析》)，这个是以10为底的。我原来在网上找过的对数图的定义，也是指以10为底的。长期的确实是要换成对数图来看可能会看到明显的趋势通道。

714# mambaa

那也可能是这样吧, 我也是在<金融市场技术分析>上看到的.

如果无法直接在软件上看到。
那等我星期天考完试后，去帮你把数据找来，拿EXCEL来作图看行不行，我尽力吧，毕竟我对EXCEL也不熟

715# feng-pan

一般的软件里，右键切换下坐标系就有了。

几天前曾经贴过苹果的反转图案, 现在看来这个图案仍然有效.
过去的四天, 向下的跳空缺口一直形成很好的阻力. 只要这个缺口一直不被填补, 那么图形上的结论就是很快会有一次回调修正.  

如果前些天使用这个图形来做空苹果的话,策略就是在缺口下沿的阻力位做空入场, 止损在320的高点上方, 目标需要再用另外的分析来判断.

这是最近的感受，作为一个职业投机者（不要误会，speculator一词本身是中性的）永远都需要从两个角度来看待市场；一个是买家角度，另一个是卖家角度。把自己钉死在事情的一面，那是投资者应做的事，但却是投机者能够犯的最大错误。

谢谢分享，很好的东西