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摘要翻译：
长期以来，地理因素，包括气候因素，与体制等其他决定因素一样，被认为是影响社会经济活动的潜在重要因素。在这里，我们证明了地理和气候令人满意地解释了世界范围内的经济活动，以一个精细的地理分辨率来衡量人均细胞生产总值（GCP-PC），通常远远高于国家平均水平。1{\deg}乘1{\deg}的GCP-PC数据集是建立和测试“本地”地理/气候与GCP-PC之间直接关系的关键。我们不仅使用许多可能的解释变量检验了地理/气候假说，更重要的是，我们还通过保留最重要的预测因子，在全球范围内预测和重建了GCP-PC。虽然这项研究证实了纬度是GCP-PC最重要的预测因子，但如果考虑到其他主要与气候变量变化有关的因素，如气压变化，而不是通常使用的平均气候条件，则GCP-PC预测的准确性会大大提高。这些发现的影响包括对为什么经济上较富裕的社会在地理位置上处于其所在位置的更好的理解
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英文标题：
《Effect of Climate and Geography on worldwide fine resolution economic
activity》
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作者：
Alberto Troccoli
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最新提交年份：
2019
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Physics 物理学
二级分类：Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 大气与海洋物理
分类描述：Atmospheric and oceanic physics and physical chemistry, biogeophysics, and climate science
大气和海洋物理和物理化学，生物地球物理和气候科学
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英文摘要：
Geography, including climatic factors, have long been considered potentially important elements in shaping socio-economic activities, alongside other determinants, such as institutions. Here we demonstrate that geography and climate satisfactorily explain worldwide economic activity as measured by the per capita Gross Cell Product (GCP-PC) at a fine geographical resolution, typically much higher than country average. A 1{\deg} by 1{\deg} GCP-PC dataset has been key for establishing and testing a direct relationship between 'local' geography/climate and GCP-PC. Not only have we tested the geography/climate hypothesis using many possible explanatory variables, importantly we have also predicted and reconstructed GCP-PC worldwide by retaining the most significant predictors. While this study confirms that latitude is the most important predictor for GCP-PC when taken in isolation, the accuracy of the GCP-PC prediction is greatly improved when other factors mainly related to variations in climatic variables, such as the variability in air pressure, rather than average climatic conditions as typically used, are considered. Implications of these findings include an improved understanding of why economically better-off societies are geographically placed where they are
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.06358
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