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摘要翻译：
急性病毒性呼吸道疾病的季节性是一个众所周知但尚未完全理解的现象。人们提出了几个模型来解释地球上每年重复爆发的规律和不同纬度观测到的相位差。这种模型考虑到已知的内在原因，主要是逃避宿主免疫反应的新病毒变体的周期性出现。然而，仅凭这一点通常无法解释重复出现的规律性和观察到的相位差。我们认为，病毒呼吸道疾病的季节性及其在地球上的纬度分布，可以用UV-B和A太阳光子的杀病毒特性通过每日、微小尺度的共振强迫机制来充分解释。这种诱导的周期性可以持续几十到几百个周期，几乎不受干扰，即使存在内部动力学（宿主失去免疫力），也比季节性振荡慢得多，在很长一段时间内，产生季节性振荡。
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英文标题：
《Forcing Seasonality of influenza-like epidemics with daily Solar
resonance》
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作者：
F. Nicastro (1), G. Sironi (2), E. Antonello (2), A. Bianco (2), M.
Biasin (3), J.R. Brucato (4), I. Ermolli (1), G. Pareschi (2), M. Salvati
(5), P. Tozzi (4), D. Trabattoni (3), M. Clerici (6) ((1) Italian National
Institute for Astrophysics - Rome Astronomical Observatory, Rome, Italy, (2)
Italian National Institute for Astrophysics - Brera Astronomical Observatory,
Milano, Italy, (3) Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences L. Sacco,
University of Milano, Milano, Italy, (4) Italian National Institute for
Astrophysics - Arcetri Astrophysical Observatory, Firenze, Italy, (5)
Regional Agency for Environmental Protection of Lombardia (ARPA Lombardia),
Milano, Italy, (6) Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation,
University of Milano and Don C. Gnocchi Foundation, IRCCS, Milano, Italy)
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最新提交年份：
2020
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分类信息：
一级分类：Quantitative Biology 数量生物学
二级分类：Other Quantitative Biology 其他定量生物学
分类描述：Work in quantitative biology that does not fit into the other q-bio classifications
不适合其他q-bio分类的定量生物学工作
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英文摘要：
Seasonality of acute viral respiratory diseases is a well-known and yet not fully understood phenomenon. Several models have been proposed to explain the regularity of yearly recurring outbreaks and the phase-differences observed at different latitudes on Earth. Such models take into account known internal causes, primarily the periodic emergence of new virus variants that evade the host immune response. Yet, this alone, is generally unable to explain the regularity of recurrences and the observed phase-differences. Here we show that seasonality of viral respiratory diseases, as well as its distribution with latitude on Earth, can be fully explained by the virucidal properties of UV-B and A Solar photons through a daily, minute-scale, resonant forcing mechanism. Such an induced periodicity can last, virtually unperturbed, from tens to hundreds of cycles, and even in presence of internal dynamics (host's loss of immunity) much slower than seasonal will, on a long period, generate seasonal oscillations.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.02580
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