摘要翻译:
尽管其不寻常的支出结构,加拿大6/49乐透是少数几个政府赞助的彩票之一,有可能采取有利的策略,我们称之为“买罐”。我们所说的买彩票是指一个辛迪加购买彩票中的每一张票,确保它拥有一个头奖得主。我们假设其他投注者独立购买少量的票。本文给出了(1)辛迪加期望收益的公式,(2)购买彩票产生显著正期望收益的条件,(3)这些发现对彩票设计的启示。
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英文标题:
《Does it Pay to Buy the Pot in the Canadian 6/49 Lotto? Implications for
Lottery Design》
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作者:
Steven D. Moffitt and William T. Ziemba
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最新提交年份:
2018
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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英文摘要:
Despite its unusual payout structure, the Canadian 6/49 Lotto is one of the few government sponsored lotteries that has the potential for a favorable strategy we call "buying the pot." By buying the pot we mean that a syndicate buys each ticket in the lottery, ensuring that it holds a jackpot winner. We assume that the other bettors independently buy small numbers of tickets. This paper presents (1) a formula for the syndicate's expected return, (2) conditions under which buying the pot produces a significant positive expected return, and (3) the implications of these findings for lottery design.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1801.02959


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