20110513 Follow Me 3

Follow me：1, 1

I fully agree that "western growth in the future must rely on building new trade linkages with the emerging world".

Today is my second day that i pay attention to this column.The paper is long, but I still read and translate it into Chinese.This paper have new views and point out that east and weat,they are associated with each other.
物价上涨时代的危机和痛苦
商品价格日益上涨是新全球化经济景象的新特征。他们的上涨反映了世界经济力量从西方转向东方。现在是我们该适应的时候。
近日价格上涨一直是非常规的，（有待商议，希探讨）涨幅太大以至于世界银行行长Robert Zoellick提醒这是真正痛苦的有毒综合体。他经常谈论最多的是处在贫困中的那些人。然而随着食品价格从2000年上涨一倍以来，石油、煤炭也涨了3-4倍，无人能挡。
这不仅仅是关于美国宽松的货币政策的报道，也不是大型商品公司诸如Glencore的涨价的情节，而是我们正亲历新兴市场成功的的阵痛，亚洲的快速增长被认为是映射对美元和欧元的强大需求的那些日子已过去了，现在中国消费者对全球消费购买力增长作出的贡献几乎和美国消费者一样，同时中国投资已经在2001年超过了美国，全球耦合，曾经是幻想，现在已是新的经济现实。
即使他们所有的进步，但是中国和印度仍热是贫穷国家。这是因为低水平的收入快速增长意味着对原材料的巨大需求，发达国家现有的结在此时才建，而人们以肉类和乳类为主食的转变导致对粮食的需求增加。synonymous （同义的）
当然，上涨的需求并不总是与高涨的价格相联。从长期来看，至少高价格能刺激供应增加，将稀缺的资源使用更加高效，但是供应并不能立即创造，（此处译法有待商榷），特别是曾经用作种粮的农地现经常用来种生物燃料。
也有其他限制。就如旅客空中旅游来讲，1950年每位乘客每米花费75美分，然而现在乘客的数量增加了7倍，出游的距离也极速上升。同样在其他领域，即使效率提高也难以减轻使用稀缺资源的压力。
更糟糕的是在正常的市场条件下，这个问题只会加深。在中国生产力快速提高，印度正推进国内收入增加，增加消费需求，中印贸易条约正逐渐改善，未来或者是人民币和卢布升值，或者相对来说中国和印度的国内价格或工资相对高于其他国家。
不论哪种胜利，中国和印度将能够提供更多产品，使价格一直提高。但是这是一个更广的形式，也就是说所有的工业国需要与原材料来支持经济增长。历史上，欧洲列强通过殖民地和奴隶解决了这一困境，今天这条路径行不通，中国和印度需要选择他法。
这就是为什么中国一直忙于与商品丰富的国家商议双边协议的原因，特别是与伊朗和撒哈拉以南的国家。这些交易条款经常是模糊的，这反映了商业和国家利益间的模糊不清。（有待商榷）。他们往往是离保护主义只有一箭之遥。其他新兴国家也在使用慷慨的补贴和严厉的价格控制来保护他们最脆弱的成员。随着高通胀已有两年之多，中国最近已诉诸控制消费项目。很快人民币将被迫升值。
然而这些简单举动给其他成本提高，世界各地成本显著增加，当东方增加时西方发现自己高额的商品换来很少的收益。大西洋周围的通胀正挤压实际收入，使经济重回衰退。
自大萧条的垮台，经济理论告诉我们世界商品价格不应该这么高。但是他们西方国家需要很快从新的经济现实中觉醒。商品价格将一直走高。我们将进入一个紧缩的时期，不是因为我们过去的负债而是因为现在的高成本。
为跳过这个陷阱，西方未来的增长必须依靠新贸易链，当新兴国家开始控制全球经济时他们将需要新的产品和服务，为理想公民提供发展阶段。
如果先进国家能够提供这些，而不是复杂以消费为主的昂贵产品，我们也能从中获益。
这不是零和游戏，毕竟全球经济目前在健康扩展，但是这是一个新兴国家成功在哪就会加强西方国家进步难以预测的负担。难以预测新的事实，世界跌入保护主义，金融混乱和冲突惊扰了20世纪，为了避免这种厄运，我们需要新的，日益绵薄的力量制定如何生活。

I fully agree that "western growth in the future must rely on building new trade linkages with the emerging world".
3 3
I made a mistake that I've forgetted to mark '3 3', careless means thougtless ,am I right?

2，2
The high price problem has swept across the globe. Things are even worse in the emerging markets, espcially China and India, among others. And this has brought the issue of inflation.
The just released CPI by the National Statistic Bureau shows it is still running at a high level, commodity price keeps rising, oil price goes upwards, so does the paycheck though it never catches up the rising rate of commodity prices. I guess this will stay for a bit long time.
When we look to the West, they are also encountered with inflation problem now. Though it enjoys a low inflation and it is some good to the development of economics, yet they have to do something to prevent it from running high.
We have enjoyed the fruits of fast growing economies, guess it is thime to suffer the perils and pains. And the measures are left to the officials to mitigate the pain.

3,3
This is why China is still busily negotiating bilateral deals with commodity-rich nations, notably Iran and various countries in sub-Saharan Africa.
这句话怎么翻译

I only have been followed once...
to be shy that the paper has too many new words to make me get the overall meaning..
maybe I should improve my English...

decide this,this paper is really good,I will follow with you。
thank you,

not decide ,but besides，
hehe...

3  3
The author gives us a general view of the global economic landscape nowadays, in which he pointed out that the costs of consumption is rising sharply, and China and India are losing its low cost superiority. We can easily feel this change by looking at the price tags in the supermarkets. With this dramastic change, the developed countries are looking for new substitutes for China and India, such as Malaysia and Vietnam.But what if all the countries' human resources are not cheap anymore? So the author called on that "this is not quite a zero sum game", if the developed countries could provide "some new products and services", we can both "benefit from the success of the emerging world".

3,3
The rapid rising in commodity prices is an urgent problem that the global economy have to cope with. In China,we confront with the same problem,even more worse. So i think our government need to take more effective actions to strengthen the control of inflation.
I do not consider that this is a zero sum game. The emerging countries and the developed both can succeed in the development of global economy.