英文标题:
《Testing for Common Breaks in a Multiple Equations System》
---
作者:
Tatsushi Oka and Pierre Perron
---
最新提交年份:
2018
---
英文摘要:
The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null hypothesis is that breaks in different parameters occur at common locations and are separated by some positive fraction of the sample size unless they occur across different equations. Under the alternative hypothesis, the break dates across parameters are not the same and also need not be separated by a positive fraction of the sample size whether within or across equations. The test considered is the quasi-likelihood ratio test assuming normal errors, though as usual the limit distribution of the test remains valid with non-normal errors. Of independent interest, we provide results about the rate of convergence of the estimates when searching over all possible partitions subject only to the requirement that each regime contains at least as many observations as some positive fraction of the sample size, allowing break dates not separated by a positive fraction of the sample size across equations. Simulations show that the test has good finite sample properties. We also provide an application to issues related to level shifts and persistence for various measures of inflation to illustrate its usefulness.
---
中文摘要:
本文讨论的问题是测试多元系统方程之间或方程内的常见断裂。我们的框架非常通用,允许使用综合回归和趋势以及平稳回归。无效假设是,不同参数的断裂发生在共同的位置,并由样本量的某个正分数分隔,除非它们发生在不同的方程中。在替代假设下,参数之间的中断日期不相同,也不需要用样本量的正分数来分隔,无论是在方程内还是方程间。所考虑的测试是假设正态误差的准似然比测试,尽管通常测试的极限分布对于非正态误差仍然有效。值得一提的是,我们在搜索所有可能的分区时,提供了有关估计收敛速度的结果,但前提是每个区域包含的观测值至少与样本量的某个正分数相同,允许中断日期不被方程中样本量的正分数分隔。仿真结果表明,该测试具有良好的有限样本特性。我们还提供了一个应用程序,用于解决各种通货膨胀度量的水平变化和持续性问题,以说明其有用性。
---
分类信息:
一级分类:Mathematics 数学
二级分类:Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述:Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies
应用统计、计算统计和理论统计:例如统计推断、回归、时间序列、多元分析、数据分析、马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗、实验设计、案例研究
--
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
--
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Statistical Finance 统计金融
分类描述:Statistical, econometric and econophysics analyses with applications to financial markets and economic data
统计、计量经济学和经济物理学分析及其在金融市场和经济数据中的应用
--
一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Methodology 方法论
分类描述:Design, Surveys, Model Selection, Multiple Testing, Multivariate Methods, Signal and Image Processing, Time Series, Smoothing, Spatial Statistics, Survival Analysis, Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods
设计,调查,模型选择,多重检验,多元方法,信号和图像处理,时间序列,平滑,空间统计,生存分析,非参数和半参数方法
--
一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述:stat.TH is an alias for math.ST. Asymptotics, Bayesian Inference, Decision Theory, Estimation, Foundations, Inference, Testing.
Stat.Th是Math.St的别名。渐近,贝叶斯推论,决策理论,估计,基础,推论,检验。
--
---
PDF下载:
-->