《Generating virtual scenarios of multivariate financial data for
quantitative trading applications》
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作者:
Javier Franco-Pedroso and Joaquin Gonzalez-Rodriguez and Jorge Cubero
and Maria Planas and Rafael Cobo and Fernando Pablos
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最新提交年份:
2018
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英文摘要:
In this paper, we present a novel approach to the generation of virtual scenarios of multivariate financial data of arbitrary length and composition of assets. With this approach, decades of realistic time-synchronized data can be simulated for a large number of assets, producing diverse scenarios to test and improve quantitative investment strategies. Our approach is based on the analysis and synthesis of the time-dependent individual and joint characteristics of real financial time series, using stochastic sequences of market trends to draw multivariate returns from time-dependent probability functions preserving both distributional properties of asset returns and time-dependent correlation among time series. Moreover, new time-synchronized assets can be arbitrarily generated through a PCA-based procedure to obtain any number of assets in the final virtual scenario. For the validation of such simulated data, they are tested with an extensive set of measurements showing a significant degree of agreement with the reference performance of real financial series, better than that obtained with other classical and state-of-the-art approaches.
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中文摘要:
在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来生成任意长度和资产组合的多元金融数据的虚拟场景。通过这种方法,可以为大量资产模拟数十年的实际时间同步数据,生成各种场景,以测试和改进量化投资策略。我们的方法基于对真实金融时间序列的时间相关个体和联合特征的分析和综合,使用市场趋势的随机序列从时间相关概率函数中提取多元收益,同时保留资产收益的分布特性和时间序列之间的时间相关。此外,可以通过基于PCA的过程任意生成新的时间同步资产,以获得最终虚拟场景中的任意数量的资产。为了验证此类模拟数据,使用一组广泛的测量数据对其进行测试,显示出与真实金融系列的参考绩效有很大程度的一致性,优于使用其他经典和最先进的方法获得的一致性。
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分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Computational Finance 计算金融学
分类描述:Computational methods, including Monte Carlo, PDE, lattice and other numerical methods with applications to financial modeling
计算方法,包括蒙特卡罗,偏微分方程,格子和其他数值方法,并应用于金融建模
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一级分类:Computer Science 计算机科学
二级分类:Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science 计算工程、金融和科学
分类描述:Covers applications of computer science to the mathematical modeling of complex systems in the fields of science, engineering, and finance. Papers here are interdisciplinary and applications-oriented, focusing on techniques and tools that enable challenging computational simulations to be performed, for which the use of supercomputers or distributed computing platforms is often required. Includes material in ACM Subject Classes J.2, J.3, and J.4 (economics).
涵盖了计算机科学在科学、工程和金融领域复杂系统的数学建模中的应用。这里的论文是跨学科和面向应用的,集中在技术和工具,使挑战性的计算模拟能够执行,其中往往需要使用超级计算机或分布式计算平台。包括ACM学科课程J.2、J.3和J.4(经济学)中的材料。
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一级分类:Electrical Engineering and Systems Science 电气工程与系统科学
二级分类:Signal Processing 信号处理
分类描述:Theory, algorithms, performance analysis and applications of signal and data analysis, including physical modeling, processing, detection and parameter estimation, learning, mining, retrieval, and information extraction. The term \"signal\" includes speech, audio, sonar, radar, geophysical, physiological, (bio-) medical, image, video, and multimodal natural and man-made signals, including communication signals and data. Topics of interest include: statistical signal processing, spectral estimation and system identification; filter design, adaptive filtering / stochastic learning; (compressive) sampling, sensing, and transform-domain methods including fast algorithms; signal processing for machine learning and machine learning for signal processing applications; in-network and graph signal processing; convex and nonconvex optimization methods for signal processing applications; radar, sonar, and sensor array beamforming and direction finding; communications signal processing; low power, multi-core and system-on-chip signal processing; sensing, communication, analysis and optimization for cyber-physical systems such as power grids and the Internet of Things.
信号和数据分析的理论、算法、性能分析和应用,包括物理建模、处理、检测和参数估计、学习、挖掘、检索和信息提取。“信号”一词包括语音、音频、声纳、雷达、地球物理、生理、(生物)医学、图像、视频和多模态自然和人为信号,包括通信信号和数据。感兴趣的主题包括:统计信号处理、谱估计和系统辨识;滤波器设计;自适应滤波/随机学习;(压缩)采样、传感和变换域方法,包括快速算法;用于机器学习的信号处理和用于信号处理应用的机器学习;网络与图形信号处理;信号处理中的凸和非凸优化方法;雷达、声纳和传感器阵列波束形成和测向;通信信号处理;低功耗、多核、片上系统信号处理;信息物理系统的传感、通信、分析和优化,如电网和物联网。
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