希勒在金融市场、行为经济学、宏观经济学、不动产、统计方法以及市场公众态度、意见与道德评判等方面,著作颇丰。1989年写的《市场波动》(Market Volatility,由麻省理工学院出版)对投机市场的价格波动作了数学分析和行为分析;1993年写的《宏观市场:建立管理社会最大经济风险的机制》(Macro Markets: Creating Institutions for Managing Society’s Largest Economic Risks,剑桥大学出版社出版) 提出了多种新的风险管理合同,如国民收入或不动产期货合同,这将会引领一场适应现代人生活水平的风险管理领域的新的革命,此书获得1996年 美国教师保险与年金协会-大学退休证券基金 (TIAA-CREF)萨缪尔森奖项;另一本书,《非理性繁荣》(Irrational Exuberance,2000年由普林斯顿大学出版社出版,2001年由百老汇图书出版)对1982年以来的股市繁荣作了一番分析和说明,并获得了2000年共同基金(Commonfund)奖项,被纽约时报评为非科幻类最畅销书。(来自百度百科)
看过新浪公开课《金融市场》的同学也一定见过他。下面有18篇来自JSTOR的Shiller的论文,主要内容都是和行为金融和金融市场现象相关,有兴趣的同学可以挑选需要的文章下载,也可以打包下载(压缩包中另有一篇The Marsh-Merton Model of Managers' Smoothing of Dividends):
本帖隐藏的内容
Robert Shiller.rar
(16.82 MB, 需要: 15 个论坛币)
Ultimate Sources of Aggregate Variability.pdf
(955.62 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency.pdf
(338.7 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
The Significance of Market Portfolio.pdf
(562.96 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts.pdf
(255.74 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends.pdf
(362.99 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Stock Prices and Social Dynamics.pdf
(4.9 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Speculative Prices and Popular Models.pdf
(227.13 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Social Security and Individual Accounts as Elements of Overall Risk-Sharing.pdf
(211.35 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Smoothness Priors and Nonlinear Regression.pdf
(1.17 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Portfolio Insurance and Other Investor Fashions as Factors in the 1987 Stock Mar.pdf
(1.27 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Market Volatility and Investor Behavior.pdf
(186.24 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance.pdf
(2.67 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends.pdf
(458.77 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior.pdf
(173.67 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models.pdf
(407.01 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Bubbles, Human Judgment, and Expert Opinion.pdf
(1.93 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Behavioral Economics and Institutional Innovation.pdf
(2.08 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
Public Resistance to Indexation-A Puzzle.pdf
(5.5 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)
如果有需要Shiller其他论文的同学也可以联系我~希望我们共同进步!


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