Citigroup 花旗：亚洲经济展望与策略—政治周期(64页)

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Citigroup 花旗：亚洲经济展望与策略—政治周期

Asia Economic Outlook and Strategy Political Cycles

(64页) 　30 March 2007

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2007-4-6 21:43:00 上传

Citigroup 花旗：亚洲经济展望与策略—政治周期(64页)
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➤ Asia has a busy political calendar in the coming two years that could affect both the economies and markets
➤ A leadership reshuffle in China and a leadership transition in the US could facilitate faster structural adjustments in China and the region
➤ Taiwan and Thailand have potential turnaround stories, but near-term uncertainties should pressure confidence and asset prices
➤ China’s tightening, including faster currency appreciation, probably will not slow growth
➤ The US expansion is withstanding the housing downturn, and the Fed may nudge rates 25bps lower later this year
➤ We recommend scaling up risk-taking on the back of possible CNY band widening by mid-2007

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