Citigroup 花旗:期望模型在行业分析当中的应用(欧洲)
56页 英文 24 October 2007 56 pages
In Search of Prospects – Sector Focus
Applying Citi’s Prospects Model at the Sector Level
Contents
Listen to the market 3
Overview of the analysis 3
Issue 1: Assessment of sensitivity on key assumptions 3
Issue 2: Top and bottom Prospects IRR 7
Issue 3: Equity Risk Premium monitoring 9
Issue 4: Implied IRR and P/E multiples 10
How the model works 11
A synopsis 11
Possible confounding factors 13
Sector screens 14
Automobiles and Components 14
Banks 15
Capital Goods 16
Chemicals 19
Commercial Services and Supplies 20
Consumer Durables and Apparel 21
Consumer Services 22
Diversified Financials 23
Food and Staples Retailing 24
Food Beverage and Tobacco 25
Healthcare Equipment and Services 27
Insurance 28
Media 30
Metals and Mining 32
Oil, Gas and Consumer Fuels 33
Paper and Forest Products 34
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences 35
Real Estate 36
Retailing 37
Software and Services 38
Technology Hardware and Equipment 39
Telecommunication Services 40
Transportation 41
Utilities 43
Appendix 45
A more detailed description of the model 45
Further reading on accounting and valuation 48
Valuation & Accounting Research – Specific topic papers 48
Valuation & Accounting Research – Pensionomics series 49
Valuation & Accounting Research – Regular periodical 50
Appendix A-1 54
Analyst Certification 54