In the G-20 advanced economies, we expect only a gradual strengthening in growth over the coming two years. Fiscal consolidation and volatility in financial markets will continue to weigh on business and consumer confidence, while heightened uncertainty hampers spending, hiring and investment decisions. Overall, we expect real GDP growth in the G-20 advanced economies of around 1.3% in 2012, followed by 1.6% in 2013 and 2.0% in 2014. For 2013,that is around 0.5 percentage points (ppts) weaker than in our August forecast update.
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