为了消除自相关,DW值小的问题,我做了如下回归, Dependent Variable: LNLP1 Method: Least Squares Date: 03/09/13 Time: 12:58 Sample (adjusted): 1992 2011 Included observations: 20 after adjustments Convergence achieved after 7 iterations Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. LNTP1 -0.037299 0.035697 -1.044872 0.3116 C 4.354314 0.040793 106.7411 0.0000 AR(1) 1.277739 0.207341 6.162501 0.0000 AR(2) -0.414684 0.197677 -2.097783 0.0522 之后做误差修正模型,结果如下,可是怎么后来怎么t值变小了,误差修正项系数为正啊?哪里做错了啊?求助啊! R-squared 0.928835 Mean dependent var 4.395960 Adjusted R-squared 0.915492 S.D. dependent var 0.057183 S.E. of regression 0.016623 Akaike info criterion -5.179171 Sum squared resid 0.004421 Schwarz criterion -4.980024 Log likelihood 55.79171 F-statistic 69.61034 Durbin-Watson stat 2.184401 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Inverted AR Roots .64-.08i .64+.08i Dependent Variable: D(LNLP1) Method: Least Squares Date: 03/09/13 Time: 13:03 Sample (adjusted): 1994 2011 Included observations: 18 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. D(LNTP1) -0.014295 0.050638 -0.282304 0.7813 UT1(-1) 0.333430 0.282063 1.182110 0.2544 R-squared -0.267049 Mean dependent var -0.010873 Adjusted R-squared -0.346239 S.D. dependent var 0.018202 S.E. of regression 0.021120 Akaike info criterion -4.772798 Sum squared resid 0.007137 Schwarz criterion -4.673868 Log likelihood 44.95518 Durbin-Watson stat 1.486940 之后做误差修正模型,结果如下,可是怎么后来怎么t值变小了,误差修正项系数为正啊?哪里做错了啊?求助啊! |


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