1 论文标题
Do College Entrance Examination Scores Predict Undergraduate GPAs? A Tale of Two Universities
2 作者信息
Chong-en Bai and Wei Chi and Qian Xiaoye
3 出处和链接(比如,NBER working paper No.11000)
http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/48731/1/MPRA_paper_48731.pdf
4 摘要
Each year, millions of Chinese high school students sit the National College Entrance
Examination (CEE). For the majority of students, the CEE score is the single determinant in
whether they gain admission into a college and to what college they enter. The purpose of this
paper is to determine whether and how well the CEE score predicts college academic success.
We also consider high school achievement and admission route in predicting college grades.
We obtain administrative data on CEE and undergraduate GPAs from two Chinese
universities with very different rankings. We find that, for both universities the CEE total
score predicts undergraduate GPAs for all four years in college. Even the size of the estimates
for CEE is similar for the two universities. High school achievement and admission routes are
also significant predictors of college grades. However, we do not find consistent results as to
which CEE subject test scores predict students’ academic performance in college.



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