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Portfolio Analysis From Probabilistic to Credibilistic and Uncertain Approaches 2010.pdf
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Portfolio Analysis: From Probabilistic to Credibilistic and Uncertain Approaches [平装]
Xiaoxia Huang (作者)
Xiaoxia Huang
School of Economics and Management
University of Science and Technology Beijing
Beijing 100083, China
E-mail: hxiaoxia@manage.ustb.edu.cn
| 定价： | ￥ 1,753.00 |
图书描述
出版日期: 2012年4月6日
The most salient feature of security returns is uncertainty. The purpose of the book is to provide systematically a quantitative method for analyzing return and risk of a portfolio investment in different kinds of uncertainty and present the ways for striking a balance between investment return and risk such that an optimal portfolio can be obtained. In classical portfolio theory, security returns were assumed to be random variables, and probability theory was the main mathematical tool for handling uncertainty in the past. However, the world is complex and uncertainty is varied. Randomness is not the only type of uncertainty in reality, especially when human factors are included. Security market, one of the most complex markets in the world, contains almost all kinds of uncertainty. The security returns are sensitive to various factors including economic, social, political and very importantly, people's psychological factors. Therefore, other than strict probability method, scholars have proposed some other approaches including imprecise probability, possibility, and interval set methods, etc., to deal with uncertainty in portfolio selection since 1990s. In this book, we want to add to the tools existing in science some new and unorthodox approaches for analyzing uncertainty of portfolio returns. When security returns are fuzzy, we use credibility which has self-duality property as the basic measure and employ credibility theory to help make selection decision such that the decision result will be consistent with the laws of contradiction and excluded middle. Being aware that one tool is not enough for solving complex practical problems, we further employ uncertain measure and uncertainty theory to help select an optimal portfolio when security returns behave neither randomly nor fuzzily.
基本信息
- 出版社: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. K; 2010 (2012年4月6日)
- 丛书名: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing
- 平装: 185页
- 语种： 英语
- ISBN: 364226249X
- 条形码: 9783642262494
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