发帖
雷达卡
Contents （很有价值）
1. Summary: the world in 2050 1
1.1. Key findings 1
1.2. Projections to 2050 1
1.3. Opportunities and challenges for business 3
1.4. Energy use and climate change: too late for 2 degrees? 3
2. Introduction 4
2.1. Background on the 2050 reports 4
2.2. Our modelling approach 4
2.3. What has changed since the January 2011 update? 5
2.4. Structure of this report 5
3. Key results 6
3.1. Relative size of economies 6
3.1.1. G7 versus E7 6
3.1.2. China, US and India likely to be dominant global economies by 2050 8
3.1.3. Beyond the top 3 countries 8
3.2. Relative GDP growth 10
3.3. Relative income levels 11
3.4. Focus on Poland and Malaysia 11
3.4.1. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Poland 11
3.4.2. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Malaysia 13
4. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth and the climate
change challenge 14
4.1. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth 14
4.2. Energy use and climate change: too late for 2 degrees? 14
5. Implications for businesses 16
5.1. Opportunities and challenges for Western companies 16
5.2. Increased focus on emerging consumer markets 16
Appendix A. Drivers of growth 18
A.1. Model structure 18
A.1.1. Demographics 18
A.1.2. Education 19
A.1.3. Capital investment 20
A.1.4. Technological progress 21
A.2. Real exchange rates: PPPs vs. MERs 21
Appendix B. Additional projections for GDP at market exchange rates
23
京公网安备 11010802022788号
