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勉强做完面板数据的误差修正模型,结果不太好,ecm基本没有起到对长期均衡状态的调整效果。
Dependent Variable: D(CP?)
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 12/04/14 Time: 18:28
Sample (adjusted): 1997 2002
Included observations: 6 after adjustments
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 90
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 86.18877 50.60187 1.703273 0.0928
D(IP?) 0.577493 0.077966 7.406980 0.0000
ECM?(-1) -0.032853 0.154098 -0.213194 0.8318
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_AH--C -27.27023
_BJ--C 215.0614
_FJ--C -61.01411
_HB--C -16.01903
_HLJ--C -75.77782
_JL--C 7.586854
_JS--C -27.78797
_JX--C -58.76139
_LN--C 16.24566
_NMG--C 20.36356
_SD--C -28.87901
_SH--C 69.29838
_SX--C -38.26695
_TJ--C 31.91241
_ZJ--C -26.69169
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.625907 Mean dependent var 428.7742
Adjusted R-squared 0.543914 S.D. dependent var 288.4260
S.E. of regression 194.7861 Akaike info criterion 13.55011
Sum squared resid 2769738. Schwarz criterion 14.02229
Log likelihood -592.7549 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.74052
F-statistic 7.633656 Durbin-Watson stat 2.477582
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
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