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英文文献：Land-Use Change And Carbon Sequestration In The Forests Of Ohio, Indiana, And Illinois: Sensitivity To Population And Model Choice-俄亥俄州、印第安纳州和伊利诺伊州森林的土地使用变化和碳封存:对人口和模式选择的敏感性
英文文献作者：Choi, Suk-Won,Sohngen, Brent,Alig, Ralph J.
英文文献摘要：
This study develops a model of land use change in the Midwestern States of Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois. Given the emergence of spatial econometrics, three models are compared to assess the sensitivity of the estimates to alternative assumptions about the distribution of their errors. Projections of future land use change are then developed, and the results are compared across different assumptions about population growth and models. We then estimate carbon sequestration potential in the region and compare the costs of different programs across the population assumptions and the alternative models. Different assumptions about population growth and error terms do not appear to affect the carbon sequestration cost estimates.
这项研究开发了中西部俄亥俄州、印第安纳州和伊利诺斯州的土地利用变化模型。鉴于空间计量经济学的出现，我们比较了三种模型，以评估估计对关于其误差分布的替代假设的敏感性。然后对未来土地利用变化进行预测，并通过不同的人口增长假设和模型对结果进行比较。然后，我们估计了该地区的碳封存潜力，并通过人口假设和替代模型比较了不同项目的成本。对人口增长和误差项的不同假设似乎不会影响碳汇成本估算。
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