Dependent Variable: LOG(Y)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 04/01/09 Time: 19:25
Sample (adjusted): 1981 2008
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 74 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
LOG(Y1) 0.381591 0.033475 11.39938 0.0000
LOG(Y2) 0.263109 0.033433 7.869720 0.0000
LOG(Y3) 0.278914 0.032578 8.561466 0.0000
C 137.1963 64991.51 0.002111 0.9983
AR(1) 1.432084 0.229260 6.246542 0.0000
AR(2) -0.175256 0.413342 -0.423997 0.6759
AR(3) -0.256878 0.269402 -0.953512 0.3512
R-squared 0.999933 Mean dependent var 5.396471
Adjusted R-squared 0.999914 S.D. dependent var 1.370737
S.E. of regression 0.012712 Akaike info criterion -5.680181
Sum squared resid 0.003394 Schwarz criterion -5.347130
Log likelihood 86.52253 F-statistic 52317.39
Durbin-Watson stat 1.844143 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Inverted AR Roots 1.00 .77 -.33
[此贴子已经被作者于2009-4-1 19:40:21编辑过]