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[经济学基础] 谨将第一正贴献给我最挚爱的阿克洛夫夫人! [推广有奖]

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楼主
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:29:00 |AI写论文

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珍妮特·路易丝·耶伦(Janet Louise Yellen),Geroge A. Akerlof的结发妻子,加州伯克利Hass商学院教授,今年57岁。

今年4月12日被指定为美国旧金山联邦储备银行主席和CEO。此前,于1997-1999年曾担任美国总统经济顾问委员会主席,1994-1997年曾是美国联邦储备管委会成员。

2001年Yellen当选为美国艺术与科学学院院士,同年被推选为美国西部经济学会副主席。

Yellen一生著述无数,其中最有名的文章包括:“失业的效率工资模型”(AER,1984),“具有工资和价格粘性的经济周期近似理性模型”(QJE,1985),“非理性行为的理性模型”(AER,1987),“公平与失业”(AER,1988)等。

吾爱阿克洛夫,吾尤爱耶伦!

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关键词:阿克洛夫 Akerlof Yellen Geroge Ellen 阿克洛夫 夫人 挚爱

与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

沙发
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:35:00
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与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

藤椅
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:44:00

《商业周刊》1997年曾撰文介绍Yellen:“珍妮特·耶伦:一个道尽玄机的经济学家”,文中说道:这位新任的总统经济顾问委员会主席拥有揭开数据神秘面纱的诀窍。

JANET YELLEN: AN ECONOMIST WHO EXPLAINS IT ALL

New CEA Chair Yellen has a knack for demystifying data

When Janet L. Yellen was a graduate student in economics at Yale University, classmates quickly figured out that the best way to decipher Professor James Tobin's lectures was to borrow her notes. And long after Yellen received her PhD in 1971, the Yellen Notes--as they became known--served as the unofficial textbook for generations of graduate students. ''She has a genius for expressing complicated arguments simply and clearly,'' says Nobel winner Tobin.

Yellen's talent for penetrating arcane issues has served her well--as an economics professor at the University of California at Berkeley and as a Federal Reserve Board governor. Now, those synthesizing skills will be tested in her biggest assignment yet: chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. And Yellen brings another resource to the job as well, her Berkeley economist husband, George A. Akerlof, a former CEA staffer who is widely perceived as a future Nobel laureate.

In academic circles, Yellen and Aker-lof--who met in 1977 as young Fed economists and were married the next year--have won acclaim for the originality of their research, to say nothing of their clout. ''It will be a very powerful wife-husband team,'' predicts David Vogel, a professor at Berkeley's Haas School of Business. Such colleagues say Akerlof often comes up with breakthrough ideas, but it is Yellen who supplies the academic rigor. Akerlof ''is more interested in the inspiration than the hard work of putting it together in a professionally plausible form--he's off to the next idea,'' says Tobin. ''She provides the discipline that makes them go.''

The couple has been collaborating professionally for more than a decade. At Berkeley, they conducted groundbreaking research that refuted prevailing wisdom about how the economy functions (table). In the 1970s, economists such as Robert E. Lucas Jr. of the University of Chicago had argued that using monetary and fiscal policy to move the economy was futile, since people adjust their behavior in ways that negate the policy changes. This ''rational expectations'' theory gained widespread acceptance at the expense of the Keynesian school, which held that the government could act to smooth out business cycles.

But in a landmark 1985 paper, Yellen and Akerlof argued that individuals lacked the time and resources to conduct the intensive research. Such a deviation from Lucas' assumptions, when magnified, might mean that an interest-rate cut could have a major impact on the economy. Former Fed Vice-Chairman Alan S. Blinder says the couple's research ''has given theoretical economic underpinnings to the New Keynesian school,'' which explains why government intervention in the economy is sometimes justified.

RELUCTANT AT FIRST. Yellen, who was sworn in to the CEA job on Feb. 13, has quietly emerged as a forceful figure on her own. As a Fed governor since 1994, she helped convince fellow governors that downsizing and foreign outsourcing was enabling the economy to run with lower unemployment and less inflation than was thought possible. Last fall, Yellen and Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan joined in arguing that the strong economy wouldn't trigger an inflationary spike--a call that appears shrewd today. ''Janet pushed for more conceptual analysis within the Fed,'' says one central bank colleague. ''She wanted the Fed to ask less 'What's the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index?' and more 'What are the broader forces affecting the economy?'''

In choosing Yellen to succeed Joseph E. Stiglitz, who is leaving to become the World Bank's chief economist, Administration officials passed over others with greater marquee value. But Treasury Secretary Robert E. Rubin says the White House talked Yellen into the job because ''we wanted someone who could bring a rigorous analytic approach to the issues and who could work well with others.'' So great was the Clintonites' respect for her thinking that while at the Fed, Yellen periodically briefed CEA officials on such topics as the labor markets and welfare reform. Moreover, in the Clinton Administration, loyalty has been a big requisite for the job: CEA chairs have been expected to sell policies, even if they disagreed, or at least remain silent.

BATTLES AHEAD. For now, Yellen says she's in synch with the Administration's thinking: She favors balancing the budget but opposes a constitutional amendment. She hints she's skeptical of calls to invest part of the Social Security Trust Fund in stocks. And she backs Clinton's plan to provide tax incentives for education and training. ''I'm concerned about rising inequality of earnings and its long-term social implications,'' she says. ''Education is the answer.''

Above all, Yellen wants to focus on rewriting last year's sweeping welfare reforms, which she fears may exact a huge toll on children without a safety net during the transition. ''I am anxious to fix welfare,'' she says. ''There has to be more training and child care.'' Based on research with Akerlof, Yellen doubts that slashing benefits will deter poor single women from having babies. The couple believes instead that the answer may lie in providing easier access to birth control and in punishing men who don't support their children.

Despite her strongly held views, Administration insiders question whether Yellen has the steel to prevail in internal battles over economic policy, which have been increasingly decided by Rubin and Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers. If the new CEA chair intends to shape as well as sell economic policy for the Administration, she may have to produce another impressive set of Yellen Notes--this time for the man in the Oval Office.

By Dean Foust in Washington

[此贴子已经被作者于2004-5-25 19:45:38编辑过]

与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

板凳
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:47:00

Yellen最新任命的新闻稿:

Janet Yellen Named President of San Francisco Federal Reserve

April 12 (Bloomberg) -- Janet Yellen was named president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to succeed Robert Parry, who will retire in June after 18 years in the position.

Parry, the second-longest serving regional Fed president behind Gary Stern of Minneapolis, had announced his decision to retire in September. Yellen, 57, will assume the job on June 14, the San Francisco bank said in a statement.

Yellen, a professor of business administration at the University of California's Haas School of Business, is a former Federal Reserve Governor and former chairwoman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Bill Clinton.

She takes over the largest Fed district by population, land mass and economic output. The 12th Federal Reserve District, which includes Alaska, Arizona, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah and Washington, covers 36 percent of the nation's land mass and about 20 percent of the population. It is home to companies such as Hewlett-Packard Co., Intel Corp., Microsoft Corp., Nike Inc., Starbucks Corp. and Walt Disney Co.

The incoming president ``is not going to have an easy job'' because of the district's size and the loss of California's largest banks, said Martin Mayer, author of the 2002 paperback book ``The Fed.'' The central bank ``is going to be confronted with major inflation problems later in the decade'' as a result of rising national debt ``and that's going to be a problem for whoever comes into the San Francisco Fed job.''

Parry, a native of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, has been head of the San Francisco bank since February 1986 and will reach the Fed's mandatory retirement age of 65 in May. He was the highest- paid Fed president in 2002, with a salary of $327,800, and was a voting member of the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee last year.

`A Huge District'

During Parry's tenure, some of California's largest banks, First Interstate Bancorp and Security Pacific Corp., disappeared through acquisitions. BankAmerica Corp., the state's biggest bank, merged with NationsBank Corp. in 1998 and moved its base to Charlotte, North Carolina.

Consumer prices, excluding food and energy, increased 3.8% year-over-year in 1986, the year Parry became a Fed president. They rose 1.1% in 2003.

Along with Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and other committee members, ``Bob helped the Fed attain price stability,'' said Timothy Cogley, an associate professor of economics at the University of California at Davis. Cogley was a senior economist at the San Francisco Fed from 1992 to 1999.

Unemployment in California, Oregon and Washington has climbed since March 2000, after the Nasdaq Composite Index rose to a record close of 5,048.62 and the bubble in technology stock prices burst. All three are among the 10 U.S. states with the highest jobless rates as of February, with California at 6.2 percent, Oregon at 7.1 percent and Washington at 6.1 percent.

Ports along the Pacific Ocean, such as those in Alaska, California and Hawaii, handle 70 percent of all Asian imports that come into the U.S. by water. The San Francisco Fed has turned to Asia as an important area of research.

``The West is a huge district with enormous responsibilities,'' said H. Robert Heller, who served on the Federal Reserve Board from 1986 to 1989. ``Parry has provided good leadership.''

Dissenting Vote

Parry cast the committee's last dissenting vote in June, when he went against an 11-member majority and pushed for a half percentage point cut in the overnight bank-lending rate instead of the quarter-point cut that was eventually approved.

At the time, Parry told the committee he had not yet seen convincing evidence of a significant increase in economic activity, and that a 50 basis point reduction was needed as insurance against continued sluggishness, according to minutes of the meeting held on June 24 and 25.

The FOMC cut the fed funds rate at that meeting to 1 percent, the lowest level in almost 46 years. Central bankers haven't changed it since then.

Parry is ``highly regarded both inside the Federal Reserve and outside,'' said Michael Boskin, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution who served as chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers from 1989 to 1993. ``He's considered a very thoughtful analyst of the economy.

Interest Rates

``He did an excellent job of explaining what was going on in his district, which was particularly important in the late 1990s, with the boom and subsequent bust,'' Boskin said.

The U.S. economy added 308,000 jobs in March, the biggest gain since April 2000, raising the possibility that the Fed may raise its target interest rate this year.

``It's not a matter of if interest rates are going to go up,'' said Kimon Daifotis, head of fixed-income portfolio management at Charles Schwab Investment Management in San Francisco. ``It's a matter of when.''

FOMC voting rights rotate among regional Fed bank presidents on an annual basis, except for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York president, who always votes on interest rates. All 12 regional presidents, voting and non-voting members, participate in FOMC meetings, held eight times a year, and contribute to the committee's assessment of economic and policy options.

San Francisco's president becomes a voting member every three years, with the next opportunity in 2006.

与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

报纸
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:51:00

关于Yellen的新职,经济学家DeLong的主页上有一些网友有趣的评论:

How are these appointments made? Is it surprising with our currrent administration that a "Clintonista" would rise to the top of the SF Fed?

Posted by: anon on April 12, 2004 02:22 PM

____

Who were the others in contention for SanF. Fed?

Posted by: Jess Olson on April 12, 2004 04:43 PM

____

It's a local election, and only bankers get to vote. Many of the bankers in question probably remember Yellen from her time on the Board - fondly, apparently.

Posted by: K Harris on April 13, 2004 04:14 AM

____

Yellen was appointed by the SF Fed's board of directors. Of the nine members, only 3 are bankers. George Scalise, president of the semiconductor industry association, is chairman of the board. Here's the list of members: http://www.frbsf.org/federalreserve/people/officers/directors.html#sf

Posted by: rex on April 13, 2004 09:30 AM

____

Congrats to Janet. But wasn't she Vice-Chairman of the Fed back in the 1990s?

What amazes me about her (from meeting her at Haas) is how down-to-earth and approachable she is. Unfortunately, not something shared by her PhD student Larry Summers.

Posted by: Tom on April 13, 2004 11:08 AM

____

"...it looks like General Dreedle is finally on the way out and that General Peckham is slated to replace him. Frankly I'm not going to be sorry to see that happen. General Peckham is a very good man and I think we'll all be much better off under him. On the other hand, it might never take place, and we'd still be under General Dreedle. Frankly, I wouldn't be sorry to see that happen either because General Dreedle is another very good man, and I think we'll all be much better off under him too. I hope you're going to keep this under your hat, Chaplain. I wouldn't want either of them to get the idea I was throwing my support on the other side." "Yes, sir."

From Catch 22.

Posted by: Harry Hutton on April 13, 2004 07:50 PM
与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

地板
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 19:52:00

再来一张!真是雍容华贵啊!

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与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

7
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 20:08:00

明尼阿波利斯联储银行早年曾采访Yellen,文中提到,一位参议员曾称赞Yellen的分析才能独一无二(second to none)。

采访稿编者按:

When Janet Yellen was appointed to the Board of Governors last summer, she brought academic credentials from some of the best schools and a long list of published articles, and her analytical talents were praised as "second to none" by one senator. However, while she has made her mark in her new position as a central banker, she has also earned another reputation at the Board—she is considered among the most approachable of the governors.

Yellen's effort to interact with the staff not only reflects her nature, but also the value she places on talking with staff about all sorts of issues. "I enjoy hearing the details," she says in the following interview. "I don't want to just see the bottom line, the summary."

That attitude is reflected in Yellen's comments regarding monetary policy, in which she not only stresses the importance of stable prices, but also the need to focus on more than just numbers: "Why are we in this business? It seems to me that it's to promote the well-being of American households. That's what it's all about."

On the following pages, Yellen also discusses politics, bank regulation, Fed research and her family's inclination toward economics.

采访稿正文:

http://minneapolisfed.org/pubs/region/95-06/int956.cfm

与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

8
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-25 20:10:00
看这对伉俪如此恩爱!document.body.clientWidth*0.5) {this.resized=true;this.width=document.body.clientWidth*0.5;this.style.cursor='pointer';} else {this.onclick=null}" alt="" /> document.body.clientWidth*0.5) {this.resized=true;this.width=document.body.clientWidth*0.5;this.style.cursor='pointer';} else {this.onclick=null}" alt="" />

[此贴子已经被作者于2004-5-26 10:13:37编辑过]

与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

9
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-26 00:27:00
"Efficiency Wage Models of Unemployment," American Economic Review, Papers and
Proceedings, May 1984; reprinted in New Keynesian Economics, Vol. 2, Coordination
Failure and Real Rigidites, N. Gregory Mankiw and David Romer, editors, MIT Press,
1991. 5.rar (872.61 KB) 本附件包括:
  • Efficiency Wage Models of Unemployment(AER1984).pdf
与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

10
一刹春 发表于 2004-5-26 00:30:00
"A Near-Rational Model of the Business Cycle with Wage and Price Inertia," (with George
Akerlof), Quarterly Journal of Economics, September 1985; reprinted in New Keynesian
Economics, Vol. 1, Imperfect Competition and Sticky Prices, N. Gregory Mankiw and
David Romer, editors, MIT Press, 1991. 6.rar (1.27 MB) 本附件包括:
  • 阅A Near-Rational Model of the Business Cycle, with Wage and Price Inertia(QJE1985).pdf
与其平淡地活着,不如用死亡搏一次无法遗忘的传说。

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