‘Steady boat’theme has played out,but not without surprises—In keeping with our‘steady boat’theme of Dec-16,Chinese policymakers have 1)set a lower growth target to ease strains from structural imbalances,2)tightened the capital account to contain large outflows,3)stabilized the CNY/USD rate,and 4)acted with discipline and flexibility to avert a trade war with the US.But what has taken us by surprise is the unleashing of a rash of regulations,which have increased not only financial volatility but also risk premium.We see 3 themes dominating 2H17-2018.
20170707-CITIGROUP-CHINA_ECONOMICS_VIEW:2H_OUTLOOK,UNLEASHING_SOME_INSTABILITY.pdf
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