Initiating with a more bullish view than consensus—Combining our proprietaryanalysis on engines,the auto market’s latest trends and Citi’s positive GDP view,we forecast China’s PV volumes will grow 3.1/6.1% in 17/18E and at a 6.9% CAGRin 18-20E vs.the Street’s 18E estimate of +1-2% yoy.Aside from the V-shapedeffect,our investment thesis–which is in sync with our economists’/strategists’views on China’s consumption story–argues that three factors will drive the sector.
20171114-CITIGROUP-CHINA_AUTO:LARGER_CARS_THE_NEXT_BIG_THING;BUY_BRILLIANCE,G.pdf
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