如题,在stata面板单位根检验时,想用LLC、费雪式检验(ADF_Fisher)两种方法,但是不知道怎么看结果?LLC结果如下图
问题(1) p-value 0.0989表示有单位根吗?接下来怎么做呢?如果用变量lnex的一阶差分继续LLC检验怎么弄呢?stata里面这个命令怎么输入啊?还是我先做变量lnex的一阶差分,然后再进行一次llc检验吗?
Levin-Lin-Chu unit-root test for lnex
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Ho: Panels contain unit roots Number of panels = 15
Ha: Panels are stationary Number of periods = 10
AR parameter: Common Asymptotics: N/T -> 0
Panel means: Included
Time trend: Included
ADF regressions: 1 lag
LR variance: Bartlett kernel, 6.00 lags average (chosen by LLC)
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Statistic p-value
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Unadjusted t -8.8565
Adjusted t* -1.2876 0.0989
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问题2:我又做了ADF_Fisher检验,结果如下图,这个怎么看结果有没有单位根呢?该看下面4个p 值哪个?我自己想的是4个p 值都挺大的,我就把lags(1)变成lags(2) 或者lags(3),结果p值越来越大,等到lags(4)时,变成再下面这个图了?是啥意思啊?
这种情况该怎么解决呢?单位根有没有怎么说明呀?
. xtunitroot fisher lndpgdp ,dfuller lags(1) demean
Fisher-type unit-root test for lndpgdp
Based on augmented Dickey-Fuller tests
--------------------------------------
Ho: All panels contain unit roots Number of panels = 15
Ha: At least one panel is stationary Number of periods = 10
AR parameter: Panel-specific Asymptotics: T -> Infinity
Panel means: Included
Time trend: Not included Cross-sectional means removed
Drift term: Not included ADF regressions: 1 lag
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Statistic p-value
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Inverse chi-squared(30) P 33.3011 0.0096
Inverse normal Z 0.5684 0.0151
Inverse logit t(79) L* 0.9064 0.8163
Modified inv. chi-squared Pm 0.4262 0.3350
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P statistic requires number of panels to be finite.
Other statistics are suitable for finite or infinite number of panels.
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. xtunitroot fisher lndpgdp ,dfuller lags(4) demean
Fisher-type unit-root test for lndpgdp
Based on augmented Dickey-Fuller tests
--------------------------------------
Ho: All panels contain unit roots Number of panels = 15
Ha: At least one panel is stationary Number of periods = 10
AR parameter: Panel-specific Asymptotics: T -> Infinity
Panel means: Included
Time trend: Not included Cross-sectional means removed
Drift term: Not included ADF regressions: 4 lags
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Statistic p-value
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Inverse chi-squared(30) P 0.0000 1.0000
Inverse normal Z . .
Inverse logit t(4) L* . .
Modified inv. chi-squared Pm -3.8730 0.9999
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问题3:同理在IPS检验中,虽然我不知道lags(aic 1)是啥意思,但是看结果p-value 0.1421比较大的,所以我又把lags(aic 1)换成lags(aic 2)、lags(aic3)、结果 尝试后为 0.0000,这一操作结果该怎么解释呢?
还有ADF regressions: 2.07 lags是啥意思?
. xtunitroot ips lnex, lags(aic 1) demean
Im-Pesaran-Shin unit-root test for lnex
---------------------------------------
Ho: All panels contain unit roots Number of panels = 15
Ha: Some panels are stationary Number of periods = 10
AR parameter: Panel-specific Asymptotics: T,N -> Infinity
Panel means: Included sequentially
Time trend: Not included Cross-sectional means removed
ADF regressions: 0.33 lags average (chosen by AIC)
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Statistic p-value
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W-t-bar -1.0709 0.1421
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毕业论文数据,求各位大神赐教啊!小妹谢过啦!
. xtunitroot ips lnex, lags(aic 3) demean
Im-Pesaran-Shin unit-root test for lnex
---------------------------------------
Ho: All panels contain unit roots Number of panels = 15
Ha: Some panels are stationary Number of periods = 10
AR parameter: Panel-specific Asymptotics: T,N -> Infinity
Panel means: Included sequentially
Time trend: Not included Cross-sectional means removed
ADF regressions: 2.07 lags average (chosen by AIC)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Statistic p-value
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
W-t-bar -29.1368 0.0000
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