【出版时间及名称】:2009.12-2010年电力设备与新能源行业年度投资策略
【作者】:海通证券
【文件格式】:PDF
【页数】:37
【目录或简介】:
1. 迎接低碳时代的到来.....................................................................................................7
1.1 哥本哈根会议引领低碳浪潮..................................................................................7
1.2 中国已经是最大的碳排放国..................................................................................7
1.3 中国低碳经济路线图:开源节流...........................................................................8
2. 太阳能:底部确立,2010 复苏可期.............................................................................9
2.1 国际市场复苏趋势明确..........................................................................................9
2.2 国内市场破冰,爆发增长尚待固定电价政策.......................................................11
2.3 短期供过于求局面仍将维持................................................................................13
2.4 多晶硅价格跌势趋缓,晶体硅组件成本有进一步下降空间.................................15
2.5 投资策略:行业长期投资价值出现 .....................................................................17
3. 风电:产业进入相对成熟阶段....................................................................................18
3.1 风电行业进入稳定增长阶段................................................................................18
3.2 整机行业竞争加剧,洗牌不可避免 .....................................................................19
3.3 考虑 CDM,风电场运营 IRR 可观......................................................................20
3.4 投资策略:投资行业龙头....................................................................................21
4. 核电:核电设备国产化是必经之路.............................................................................22
4.1 中国核电进入新的快速增长期.............................................................................22
4.2 核电设备厂商将获益行业增长.............................................................................25
4.3 核电设备国产化是必经之路................................................................................26
4.4 核电行业投资策略:盈利贡献弹性+技术突破 .......................................................27
5. IGCC,清洁煤发电技术的未来...................................................................................28
5.1 IGCC,燃煤发电新技术.......................................................................................28
5.2 当前国内主要市场在煤化工领域.........................................................................29
5.3 煤电大市场可能是 IGCC 未来的发展方向...........................................................29
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